Football · USA USL Super League Women · 16/08, 01:00
Prediction: Lexington SC (W) vs Brooklyn (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Lexington SC (W)1.74
Brooklyn (W)0.82
1X2
Lexington SC (W)
Draw
Brooklyn (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington SC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Brooklyn (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lexington SC (W)
4–2–0
Brooklyn (W)
(6 last)
- Lexington SC (W)3-1Brooklyn (W)
- Brooklyn (W)0-1Lexington SC (W)
- Brooklyn (W)0-2Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)2-0Brooklyn (W)
- Brooklyn (W)1-1Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)0-0Brooklyn (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexington SC (W) 1601 · Brooklyn (W) 1431
| Lexington SC (W) | Draw | Brooklyn (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington SC (W) (rating 1601 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Lexington SC (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lexington SC (W) | Brooklyn (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lexington SC (W) 4–2–0 Brooklyn (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Brooklyn (W) |
| 28/03/26 USA USL Super League Women | Brooklyn (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 15/11/25 USA USL Super League Women | Brooklyn (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 07/09/25 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Brooklyn (W) |
| 20/04/25 USA USL Super League Women | Brooklyn (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 02/03/25 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brooklyn (W) |
Standings · USA USL Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brooklyn (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carolina Ascent (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dallas Trinity (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | DC Power (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lexington SC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting JAX (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lexington SC (W) | Brooklyn (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Ascent (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Dallas Trinity (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Spokane Zephyr (W) | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Sporting JAX (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lexington SC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexington SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Brooklyn (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/03 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexington SC (W) vs Brooklyn (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lexington SC (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Lexington SC (W) 59%, draw 24%, Brooklyn (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Lexington SC (W) vs Brooklyn (W)?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Lexington SC (W) 1.74 · Brooklyn (W) 0.82), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lexington SC (W) vs Brooklyn (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.