Football · USA USL Super League Women · 16/08, 01:00
Prediction: DC Power (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
DC Power (W)1.05
Carolina Ascent (W)1.16
1X2
DC Power (W)
Draw
Carolina Ascent (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
DC Power (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Carolina Ascent (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
DC Power (W)
0–2–4
Carolina Ascent (W)
(6 last)
- DC Power (W)0-1Carolina Ascent (W)
- Carolina Ascent (W)0-0DC Power (W)
- DC Power (W)0-1Carolina Ascent (W)
- Carolina Ascent (W)3-2DC Power (W)
- DC Power (W)0-1Carolina Ascent (W)
- Carolina Ascent (W)3-3DC Power (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · DC Power (W) 1452 · Carolina Ascent (W) 1631
| DC Power (W) | Draw | Carolina Ascent (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Ascent (W) (rating 1452 vs 1631).
- H2H favours Carolina Ascent (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| DC Power (W) | Carolina Ascent (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · DC Power (W) 0–2–4 Carolina Ascent (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 USA USL Super League Women | DC Power (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carolina Ascent (W) |
| 20/12/25 USA USL Super League Women | Carolina Ascent (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | DC Power (W) |
| 22/11/25 USA USL Super League Women | DC Power (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carolina Ascent (W) |
| 05/10/25 USA USL Super League Women | Carolina Ascent (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | DC Power (W) |
| 09/04/25 USA USL Super League Women | DC Power (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Carolina Ascent (W) |
| 23/02/25 USA USL Super League Women | Carolina Ascent (W) | 3-3 HT 1-1 | DC Power (W) |
Standings · USA USL Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brooklyn (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carolina Ascent (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dallas Trinity (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | DC Power (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lexington SC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting JAX (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | DC Power (W) | Carolina Ascent (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting JAX (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Dallas Trinity (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Lexington SC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Carolina Ascent (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
DC Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/04 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/04 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/03 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Carolina Ascent (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/03 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in DC Power (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Carolina Ascent (W) win (38%). Probabilities: DC Power (W) 32%, draw 30%, Carolina Ascent (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in DC Power (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W)?
The model expects 2.21 goals (DC Power (W) 1.05 · Carolina Ascent (W) 1.16), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in DC Power (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.