Football · USA USL Super League Women · 16/08, 02:30
Prediction: Dallas Trinity (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Dallas Trinity (W)1.65
Tampa Bay Sun (W)1.01
1X2
Dallas Trinity (W)
Draw
Tampa Bay Sun (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dallas Trinity (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tampa Bay Sun (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dallas Trinity (W)
1–2–3
Tampa Bay Sun (W)
(6 last)
- Tampa Bay Sun (W)0-2Dallas Trinity (W)
- Dallas Trinity (W)1-2Tampa Bay Sun (W)
- Tampa Bay Sun (W)1-1Dallas Trinity (W)
- Tampa Bay Sun (W)2-1Dallas Trinity (W)
- Tampa Bay Sun (W)1-0Dallas Trinity (W)
- Dallas Trinity (W)1-1Tampa Bay Sun (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dallas Trinity (W) 1480 · Tampa Bay Sun (W) 1443
| Dallas Trinity (W) | Draw | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tampa Bay Sun (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dallas Trinity (W) | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dallas Trinity (W) 1–2–3 Tampa Bay Sun (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL Super League Women | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Dallas Trinity (W) |
| 01/04/26 USA USL Super League Women | Dallas Trinity (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) |
| 21/09/25 USA USL Super League Women | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dallas Trinity (W) |
| 08/06/25 USA USL Super League Women | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dallas Trinity (W) |
| 05/05/25 USA USL Super League Women | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dallas Trinity (W) |
| 16/02/25 USA USL Super League Women | Dallas Trinity (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) |
Standings · USA USL Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brooklyn (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carolina Ascent (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dallas Trinity (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | DC Power (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lexington SC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting JAX (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dallas Trinity (W) | Tampa Bay Sun (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lexington SC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| DC Power (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Brooklyn (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Carolina Ascent (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dallas Trinity (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dallas Trinity (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Tampa Bay Sun (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 05/04 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/03 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dallas Trinity (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dallas Trinity (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Dallas Trinity (W) 51%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Sun (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Dallas Trinity (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun (W)?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Dallas Trinity (W) 1.65 · Tampa Bay Sun (W) 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dallas Trinity (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.