Football · USA USL Super League Women · 16/08, 01:30

Prediction: Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Sporting JAX (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)0.76

Sporting JAX (W)2.23

1X2

11% 19% 70%

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) Draw Sporting JAX (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLLLLL

Sporting JAX (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 0–1–3 Sporting JAX (W) (4 last)

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)1-4Sporting JAX (W)
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)0-2Sporting JAX (W)
Sporting JAX (W)1-1Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Sporting JAX (W)2-0Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 1399 · Sporting JAX (W) 1536

	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	Draw	Sporting JAX (W)
Our model	10%	20%	70%
Market	11%	19%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting JAX (W) (rating 1399 vs 1536).
H2H favours Sporting JAX (W): 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	Sporting JAX (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.6	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

18.50

X4.75

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:01 +11’	8.50	4.75	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 0–1–3 Sporting JAX (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 USA USL Super League Women	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Sporting JAX (W)
15/03/26 USA USL Super League Women	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Sporting JAX (W)
13/12/25 USA USL Super League Women	Sporting JAX (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
23/11/25 USA USL Super League Women	Sporting JAX (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

Standings · USA USL Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brooklyn (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Carolina Ascent (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dallas Trinity (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	DC Power (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lexington SC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting JAX (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tampa Bay Sun (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	Sporting JAX (W)
Dallas Trinity (W)	0-4 L	4-0 W
Carolina Ascent (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Spokane Zephyr (W)	1-3 L	1-2 L
DC Power (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
Lexington SC (W)	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting JAX (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

LLDWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	0-4	0	5	L
10/05	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
03/05	Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
27/04	Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
23/04	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	0-4	2	1	L
11/04	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
07/04	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
29/03	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
21/03	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
15/03	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	0-2	2	3	L

Sporting JAX (W)

WDWWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
17/05	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
07/05	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
03/05	Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
25/04	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
20/04	Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
11/04	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women	2-0	4-1	8	1	W
04/04	Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
29/03	Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/03	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	2-0	4-0	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Sporting JAX (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting JAX (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 11%, draw 19%, Sporting JAX (W) 70%.

How many goals are expected in Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Sporting JAX (W)?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 0.76 · Sporting JAX (W) 2.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) vs Sporting JAX (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.