Football · USA USL Super League Women · 29/08, 19:00
Prediction: Lexington SC (W) vs DC Power (W)
Team pages: Lexington SC (W) · DC Power (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Lexington SC (W)1.43
DC Power (W)0.97
1X2
Lexington SC (W)
Draw
DC Power (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington SC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DC Power (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lexington SC (W)
3–3–0
DC Power (W)
(6 last)
- DC Power (W)0-2Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)2-2DC Power (W)
- DC Power (W)0-0Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)3-3DC Power (W)
- DC Power (W)1-2Lexington SC (W)
- Lexington SC (W)3-0DC Power (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexington SC (W) 1573 · DC Power (W) 1472
| Lexington SC (W) | Draw | DC Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington SC (W) (rating 1573 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Lexington SC (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lexington SC (W) | DC Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 2.8 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lexington SC (W) 3–3–0 DC Power (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 USA USL Super League Women | DC Power (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 13/12/25 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | DC Power (W) |
| 13/09/25 USA USL Super League Women | DC Power (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 01/06/25 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 3-3 HT 1-3 | DC Power (W) |
| 09/03/25 USA USL Super League Women | DC Power (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lexington SC (W) |
| 14/12/24 USA USL Super League Women | Lexington SC (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | DC Power (W) |
Standings · USA USL Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting JAX (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Lexington SC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | DC Power (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | Dallas Trinity (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 8 | Brooklyn (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lexington SC (W) | DC Power (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Carolina Ascent (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Dallas Trinity (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tampa Bay Sun (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Spokane Zephyr (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Sporting JAX (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lexington SC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexington SC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
DC Power (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/04 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/04 | Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexington SC (W) vs DC Power (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lexington SC (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Lexington SC (W) 47%, draw 28%, DC Power (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Lexington SC (W) vs DC Power (W)?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Lexington SC (W) 1.43 · DC Power (W) 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lexington SC (W) vs DC Power (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.