Football · USA USL Super League Women · 06/09, 01:00

Prediction: Carolina Ascent (W) vs Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

Team pages: Carolina Ascent (W) · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Carolina Ascent (W)2.01

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)0.85

1X2

64% 22% 14%

Carolina Ascent (W) Draw Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Carolina Ascent (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWL

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Carolina Ascent (W) 2–3–1 Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) (6 last)

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)0-3Carolina Ascent (W)
Carolina Ascent (W)1-1Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Carolina Ascent (W)0-1Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)2-2Carolina Ascent (W)
Carolina Ascent (W)1-1Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)2-5Carolina Ascent (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carolina Ascent (W) 1576 · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 1433

	Carolina Ascent (W)	Draw	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Our model	64%	22%	14%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Ascent (W) (rating 1576 vs 1433).
H2H favours Carolina Ascent (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carolina Ascent (W)	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +11’	1.40	4.10	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Ascent (W) 2–3–1 Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 USA USL Super League Women	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	0-3 HT 0-0	Carolina Ascent (W)
29/03/26 USA USL Super League Women	Carolina Ascent (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
09/11/25 USA USL Super League Women	Carolina Ascent (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
31/08/25 USA USL Super League Women	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Carolina Ascent (W)
09/06/25 USA USL Super League Women	Carolina Ascent (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
27/04/25 USA USL Super League Women	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	2-5 HT 1-3	Carolina Ascent (W)

Standings · USA USL Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting JAX (W)	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
2	Carolina Ascent (W)	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
3	DC Power (W)	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
4	Tampa Bay Sun (W)	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
5	Lexington SC (W)	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
6	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	Dallas Trinity (W)	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
8	Brooklyn (W)	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carolina Ascent (W)	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)
Tampa Bay Sun (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Dallas Trinity (W)	3-1 W	0-4 L
DC Power (W)	1-0 W	0-4 L
Sporting JAX (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Carolina Ascent (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carolina Ascent (W)

WWWWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
23/08	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	2-0	3-1	0	0	W
16/08	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
31/05	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	1-1	9	5	D
24/05	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/05	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
10/05	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
26/04	Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	2-1	8	6	W
19/04	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
12/04	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-0	1	4	W

Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)

DWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
16/08	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
17/05	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	0-4	0	5	L
10/05	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
03/05	Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
27/04	Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
23/04	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	0-4	2	1	L
11/04	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
07/04	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
29/03	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carolina Ascent (W) vs Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carolina Ascent (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Carolina Ascent (W) 64%, draw 22%, Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Carolina Ascent (W) vs Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Carolina Ascent (W) 2.01 · Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Carolina Ascent (W) vs Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.