Football · Colombia Primera A · 26/07, 01:10

Prediction: Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Millonarios1.83

Atletico Bucaramanga1.09

1X2

54% 25% 21%

Millonarios Draw Atletico Bucaramanga

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Millonarios 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDDLWL

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Millonarios 2–3–1 Atletico Bucaramanga (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Millonarios (rating 1514 vs 1458).
H2H favours Millonarios: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Millonarios	Atletico Bucaramanga
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.3	2.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.79

Diff.: 1.25 · xG: 3.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.88 → 1.88	Pinn 1.88
X	3.24 → 3.24	Pinn 3.24
2	4.44 → 4.44	Pinn 4.44

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:17 +1’	1.88	3.24	4.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Millonarios 2–3–1 Atletico Bucaramanga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Colombia Primera A	Atletico Bucaramanga	2-1 HT 0-1	Millonarios
22/10/25 Colombia Primera A	Millonarios	1-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Bucaramanga
28/04/25 Colombia Primera A	Atletico Bucaramanga	0-2 HT 0-1	Millonarios
09/10/24 Colombia Cup	Atletico Bucaramanga	1-1 HT 1-0	Millonarios
02/10/24 Colombia Cup	Millonarios	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Bucaramanga
21/07/24 Colombia Primera A	Millonarios	1-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Bucaramanga

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Pasto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aguilas Doradas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alianza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	America de Cali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Nacional Medellin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Boyaca Chico	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Bucaramanga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Junior	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Once Caldas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportes Tolima	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cucuta Deportivo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Cali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Pereira	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fortaleza CEIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Independiente Medellin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Independiente Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Internacional de Bogota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jaguares de Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Llaneros	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Millonarios	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Millonarios	Atletico Bucaramanga
Boyaca Chico	2-2 D	5-0 W
Alianza	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Millonarios

DDWWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Universitario de Deportes America Friendlies	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
30/05	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup	5-0	8-1	11	4	W
27/05	O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana	0-2	1-2	7	8	L
23/05	Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
20/05	Sao Paulo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
16/05	Patriotas FC Colombia Cup	1-1	3-2	7	6	W
12/05	Llaneros Colombia Cup	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
08/05	Boston River Copa Sudamericana	0-1	4-2	9	4	W
03/05	Alianza Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	8	8	D
29/04	Sao Paulo Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-0	9	3	D

Atletico Bucaramanga

LLWLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Alianza Colombia Cup	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
21/05	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup	0-1	2-3	10	0	L
12/05	Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
08/05	Real San Andres Colombia Cup	3-0	5-0	3	1	W
03/05	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/04	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
21/04	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
13/04	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	2-0	5-0	3	7	W
07/04	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
02/04	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-2	4	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Millonarios win (54%). Probabilities: Millonarios 54%, draw 25%, Atletico Bucaramanga 21%.

How many goals are expected in Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Millonarios 1.83 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.