Football · Colombia Primera A · 27/07, 01:10

Prediction: Alianza vs Fortaleza CEIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Alianza1.27

Fortaleza CEIF0.9

1X2

44% 31% 25%

Alianza Draw Fortaleza CEIF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Alianza 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDDWLW

Fortaleza CEIF 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWWLDD

Head-to-head

Alianza 1–3–1 Fortaleza CEIF (5 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alianza	Fortaleza CEIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.11 → 2.13▲	Pinn 2.13
X	3.01 → 3.04▲	Pinn 3.04
2	3.76 → 3.80▲	Pinn 3.80

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +1’	2.11	3.01	3.76
02:28	2.13▲	3.04▲	3.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza 1–3–1 Fortaleza CEIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Colombia Primera A	Fortaleza CEIF	1-0 HT 0-0	Alianza
28/07/25 Colombia Primera A	Fortaleza CEIF	2-2 HT 1-0	Alianza
26/03/25 Colombia Primera A	Alianza	0-0 HT 0-0	Fortaleza CEIF
09/09/24 Colombia Primera A	Alianza	1-1 HT 0-1	Fortaleza CEIF
28/02/24 Colombia Primera A	Fortaleza CEIF	1-2 HT 1-2	Alianza

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Pasto	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aguilas Doradas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alianza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	America de Cali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Nacional Medellin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Boyaca Chico	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Bucaramanga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Junior	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Once Caldas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportes Tolima	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cucuta Deportivo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Cali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Pereira	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fortaleza CEIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Independiente Medellin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Independiente Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Internacional de Bogota	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jaguares de Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Llaneros	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Millonarios	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alianza	Fortaleza CEIF
Atletico Bucaramanga	2-1 W	2-1 W
Millonarios	2-2 D	2-2 D
Independiente Medellin	0-1 L	0-1 L
Internacional de Bogota	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fortaleza CEIF (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Alianza

DWLLDDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
21/05	Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
16/05	Real San Andres Colombia Cup	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
08/05	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
03/05	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-2	3	8	D
27/04	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
19/04	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
13/04	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-2	6	0	L
06/04	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	2-0	3-2	5	5	W
01/04	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	7	7	D

Fortaleza CEIF

DDWLLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
20/05	Orsomarso Colombia Cup	0-1	1-1	13	7	D
11/05	Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup	0-1	0-1	1	7	L
08/05	Itagui Leones Colombia Cup	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
03/05	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
26/04	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
23/04	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
19/04	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
04/04	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
31/03	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-2	2-2	2	11	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza vs Fortaleza CEIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza win (44%). Probabilities: Alianza 44%, draw 31%, Fortaleza CEIF 25%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza vs Fortaleza CEIF?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Alianza 1.27 · Fortaleza CEIF 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza vs Fortaleza CEIF?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.