Football · Colombia Primera A · 18/09, 23:00
Prediction: Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira
Team pages: Aguilas Doradas · Deportivo Pereira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Aguilas Doradas1.83
Deportivo Pereira0.83
1X2
Aguilas Doradas
Draw
Deportivo Pereira
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Aguilas Doradas
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pereira
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguilas Doradas
2–3–1
Deportivo Pereira
(6 last)
- Aguilas Doradas1-1Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira0-1Aguilas Doradas
- Deportivo Pereira1-5Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas3-3Deportivo Pereira
- Aguilas Doradas1-1Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira2-1Aguilas Doradas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas Doradas (rating 1533 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Aguilas Doradas: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aguilas Doradas | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguilas Doradas 2–3–1 Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 Colombia Cup | Aguilas Doradas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 15/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 25/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 05/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 28/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 18/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aguilas Doradas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Independiente Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Aguilas Doradas | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Once Caldas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Cucuta Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Boyaca Chico | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 18 | Alianza | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
| 19 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aguilas Doradas | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Llaneros | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Pasto | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aguilas Doradas (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 19/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 19/04 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aguilas Doradas win (60%). Probabilities: Aguilas Doradas 60%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 16%.
How many goals are expected in Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Aguilas Doradas 1.83 · Deportivo Pereira 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.