Football · Colombia Primera A · 26/09, 01:10
Prediction: Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto
Team pages: Boyaca Chico · Deportivo Pasto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Boyaca Chico1.34
Deportivo Pasto1
1X2
Boyaca Chico
Draw
Deportivo Pasto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Boyaca Chico
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pasto
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boyaca Chico
1–2–3
Deportivo Pasto
(6 last)
- Deportivo Pasto2-0Boyaca Chico
- Deportivo Pasto2-0Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico2-2Deportivo Pasto
- Boyaca Chico0-0Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto3-0Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico1-0Deportivo Pasto
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Pasto: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boyaca Chico | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 6.5 / 1.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boyaca Chico 1–2–3 Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 06/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 26/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 22/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 12/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 22/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Independiente Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta Deportivo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boyaca Chico | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Once Caldas | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Aguilas Doradas | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| America de Cali | 0-7 L | 1-0 W |
| Llaneros | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Boyaca Chico (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boyaca Chico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boyaca Chico win (43%). Probabilities: Boyaca Chico 43%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pasto 27%.
How many goals are expected in Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Boyaca Chico 1.34 · Deportivo Pasto 1), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.