Football · Colombia Primera A · 26/09, 03:15
Prediction: Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga
Team pages: Once Caldas · Atletico Bucaramanga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Once Caldas1.45
Atletico Bucaramanga1.06
1X2
Once Caldas
Draw
Atletico Bucaramanga
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Once Caldas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Bucaramanga
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas
3–3–0
Atletico Bucaramanga
(6 last)
- Atletico Bucaramanga1-1Once Caldas
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-0Once Caldas
- Once Caldas2-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Once Caldas2-1Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga1-1Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-0Atletico Bucaramanga
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Once Caldas: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Once Caldas | Atletico Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas 3–3–0 Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Once Caldas |
| 10/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 09/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 12/08/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 11/02/24 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 26/08/23 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Independiente Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta Deportivo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Once Caldas | Atletico Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Cali | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Fortaleza CEIF | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Jaguares de Cordoba | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Once Caldas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Once Caldas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 10/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 31/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Once Caldas win (45%). Probabilities: Once Caldas 45%, draw 29%, Atletico Bucaramanga 26%.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Once Caldas 1.45 · Atletico Bucaramanga 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.