Football · Russia Premier League · 25/07, 19:45
Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Spartak Moscow1.36
Rodina Moscow1.38
1X2
Spartak Moscow
Draw
Rodina Moscow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Moscow
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Rodina Moscow
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Moscow
2–0
Rodina Moscow
(2 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodina Moscow (rating 1523 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Moscow | Rodina Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.6 | – / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Moscow 2–0–0 Rodina Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/25 Club Friendly List | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Rodina Moscow |
| 16/09/20 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Rodina Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Rubin Kazan Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Rodina Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Lokomotiv Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 10 | W |
| 22/04 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 13/04 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Sokol Saratov Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | Ural Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Moscow win (36%). Probabilities: Spartak Moscow 36%, draw 28%, Rodina Moscow 36%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Spartak Moscow 1.36 · Rodina Moscow 1.38), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.