Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 20:00
Prediction: Seekirchen vs SK Sturm Graz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.7Total
Seekirchen1.35
SK Sturm Graz3.35
1X2
Seekirchen
Draw
SK Sturm Graz
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Seekirchen
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
SK Sturm Graz
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Seekirchen
0–1
SK Sturm Graz
(1 last)
- Seekirchen0-7SK Sturm Graz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seekirchen 1489 · SK Sturm Graz 1548
| Seekirchen | Draw | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 4% | 9% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.7 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sturm Graz (rating 1489 vs 1548).
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seekirchen | SK Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.7 | 2.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seekirchen 0–0–1 SK Sturm Graz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/15 Austria Cup | Seekirchen | 0-7 HT 0-5 | SK Sturm Graz |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seekirchen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | FC Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga West |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West |
1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West |
3-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | D |
SK Sturm Graz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Hearts UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | Pogon Szczecin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | SC Kalsdorf Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | FC Kosice Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 30/06 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | NS Mura Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seekirchen vs SK Sturm Graz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Sturm Graz win (82%). Probabilities: Seekirchen 7%, draw 11%, SK Sturm Graz 82%.
How many goals are expected in Seekirchen vs SK Sturm Graz?
The model expects 4.7 goals (Seekirchen 1.35 · SK Sturm Graz 3.35), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Seekirchen vs SK Sturm Graz?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.