Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 19:30
Prediction: SV Tillmitsch vs St Polten
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
SV Tillmitsch0.83
St Polten2.32
1X2
SV Tillmitsch
Draw
St Polten
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
SV Tillmitsch
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
St Polten
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Tillmitsch 1540 · St Polten 1515
| SV Tillmitsch | Draw | St Polten | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| Market | 13% | 15% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Tillmitsch | St Polten | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.7 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Tillmitsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | SV Kapfenberg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | SV Lebring Austria Landesliga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga |
4-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Leoben DSV Austria Amateur Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | SV Allerheiligen Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Schladming Austria Landesliga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | St. Anna am Aigen Austria Amateur Cup |
4-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | SV Pachern Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 30/04 | FC Gamlitz Austria Landesliga |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
St Polten
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Slovan Liberec Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Admira Wacker Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/07 | SK Artis Brno Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | SV Horn Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Tillmitsch vs St Polten?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Polten win (71%). Probabilities: SV Tillmitsch 12%, draw 17%, St Polten 71%.
How many goals are expected in SV Tillmitsch vs St Polten?
The model expects 3.15 goals (SV Tillmitsch 0.83 · St Polten 2.32), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Tillmitsch vs St Polten?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.