Football · Austria Cup · 25/07, 18:00
Prediction: Hohenems vs Hertha Wels
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Hohenems1.53
Hertha Wels1.83
1X2
Hohenems
Draw
Hertha Wels
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hohenems
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Hertha Wels
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hohenems
0–1
Hertha Wels
(1 last)
- Hertha Wels1-0Hohenems
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hohenems 1521 · Hertha Wels 1460
| Hohenems | Draw | Hertha Wels | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hohenems (rating 1521 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hohenems | Hertha Wels | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.5 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hohenems 0–0–1 Hertha Wels
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/19 Austria Cup | Hertha Wels | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hohenems |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hohenems
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | SW Bregenz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | SK Bischofshofen Austria Regionalliga West |
4-2 | 7-3 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Amateur Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria Regionalliga West |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | FC Alberschwende Austria Amateur Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Hertha Wels
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FC Silon Taborsko Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12/07 | Rapid Vienna Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | LASK Linz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | St Polten Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hohenems vs Hertha Wels?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hertha Wels win (44%). Probabilities: Hohenems 32%, draw 23%, Hertha Wels 44%.
How many goals are expected in Hohenems vs Hertha Wels?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Hohenems 1.53 · Hertha Wels 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hohenems vs Hertha Wels?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.