Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 18:30
Prediction: FC Dornbirn 1913 vs SV Ried
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
FC Dornbirn 19130.77
SV Ried2.36
1X2
FC Dornbirn 1913
Draw
SV Ried
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Dornbirn 1913
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
SV Ried
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Dornbirn 1913
0–4
SV Ried
(4 last)
- SV Ried1-0FC Dornbirn 1913
- FC Dornbirn 19130-2SV Ried
- FC Dornbirn 19130-5SV Ried
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Dornbirn 1913 1464 · SV Ried 1488
| FC Dornbirn 1913 | Draw | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Market | 11% | 16% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SV Ried: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Dornbirn 1913 | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.4 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dornbirn 1913 0–0–4 SV Ried
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/24 Austria 2. Liga | SV Ried | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Dornbirn 1913 |
| 25/11/23 Austria 2. Liga | FC Dornbirn 1913 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | SV Ried |
| 30/11/19 Austria 2. Liga | FC Dornbirn 1913 | 0-5 HT 0-1 | SV Ried |
| 24/11/19 Austria 2. Liga | SV Ried | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Dornbirn 1913 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Dornbirn 1913
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | SW Bregenz Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Hohenems Austria Amateur Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga West |
2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | SC Rothis Austria Amateur Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
SV Ried
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Rot-Weiss Essen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Jahn Regensburg Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | SV Austria Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Dornbirn 1913 vs SV Ried?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Ried win (73%). Probabilities: FC Dornbirn 1913 10%, draw 17%, SV Ried 73%.
How many goals are expected in FC Dornbirn 1913 vs SV Ried?
The model expects 3.12 goals (FC Dornbirn 1913 0.77 · SV Ried 2.36), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Dornbirn 1913 vs SV Ried?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.