Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 08/07, 01:00

Prediction: GV San Jose vs Real Tomayapo

Expected goals: 3.24 (GV San Jose 2.02 · Real Tomayapo 1.23). The model gives 55% home, 23% draw, 22% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves GV San Jose with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Real Tomayapo has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for GV San Jose and 2 for Real Tomayapo.

55%1
55% 23% 22%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GV San Jose 1451 · Real Tomayapo 1428
GV San JoseDrawReal Tomayapo
Our model55%23%22%
Market55%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.24GV San Jose 2.02 · Real Tomayapo 1.23
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GV San JoseReal Tomayapo
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.90.7 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 2.72.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.23.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · GV San Jose 202 Real Tomayapo

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/08/25
Bolivia Primera Division
Real Tomayapo2-1
HT 2-0
GV San Jose
30/03/25
Bolivia Primera Division
GV San Jose3-1
HT 3-1
Real Tomayapo
25/09/24
Bolivia Clausura
GV San Jose5-0
HT 3-0
Real Tomayapo
11/05/24
Bolivia Clausura
Real Tomayapo2-0
HT 0-0
GV San Jose

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Always Ready 8521 14517
2 The Strongest 7520 12617
3 Club Aurora 8440 14716
4 Bolivar 8422 19914
5 Blooming 8332 141012
6 Independiente Petrolero 7331 111012
7 Guabira 9324 142011
8 Universitario De Vinto 8314 141210
9 Oriente Petrolero 8314 101110
10 Academia de Balompie Boliviano 7304 12179
11 Nacional Potosi 7223 998
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8215 10147
13 Real Potosi 6132 556
14 Real Oruro 6123 10145
15 Real Tomayapo 7124 3165
16 GV San Jose 6024 5112

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGV San JoseReal Tomayapo
Bolivar 1-2 L 0-6 L
Club Aurora 1-1 D 0-2 L
Oriente Petrolero 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GV San Jose (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GV San Jose

DWWLLLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/05 Guabira
Bolivia Primera Division
0-2 0-3 54 L
03/05 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 1-2 26 L
25/04 Nacional Potosi
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-1 18 D
22/04 Club Aurora
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-1 39 D
13/04 Oriente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 1-2 19 L
05/04 Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-2 23 L
24/03 Blooming
America Friendlies
0-2 1-4 23 L
21/03 Blooming
America Friendlies
1-1 2-1 67 W
18/03 Club Aurora
America Friendlies
3-1 4-2 18 W
11/03 Club Aurora
America Friendlies
1-0 1-1 46 D

Real Tomayapo

LLLLDDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Club Aurora
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-2 33 L
10/05 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-0 31 W
03/05 Oriente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
0-3 1-3 103 L
26/04 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
0-2 0-6 03 L
24/04 The Strongest
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-0 57 D
14/04 Real Potosi
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-1 56 D
04/04 Always Ready
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 0-4 32 L
01/03 Oriente Petrolero
America Friendlies
0-1 1-5 47 L
21/02 Oriente Petrolero
America Friendlies
0-1 1-3 73 L
09/02 Independiente Petrolero
America Friendlies
0-3 2-5 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GV San Jose vs Real Tomayapo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GV San Jose win (55%). Probabilities: GV San Jose 55%, draw 23%, Real Tomayapo 22%.

How many goals are expected in GV San Jose vs Real Tomayapo?

The model expects 3.24 goals (GV San Jose 2.02 · Real Tomayapo 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GV San Jose vs Real Tomayapo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.