Football · Belgium First Division B · 28/08, 20:00

Prediction: KSC Lokeren Temse vs Genk II

Team pages: KSC Lokeren Temse · Genk II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

KSC Lokeren Temse2.2

Genk II1.25

1X2

58% 22% 20%

KSC Lokeren Temse Draw Genk II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

KSC Lokeren Temse 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDDDWW

Genk II 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDDDLL

Head-to-head

KSC Lokeren Temse 2–2–0 Genk II (4 last)

Genk II2-2KSC Lokeren Temse
KSC Lokeren Temse2-2Genk II
Genk II1-2KSC Lokeren Temse
KSC Lokeren Temse4-0Genk II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KSC Lokeren Temse 1535 · Genk II 1464

	KSC Lokeren Temse	Draw	Genk II
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	58%	22%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KSC Lokeren Temse (rating 1535 vs 1464).
H2H favours KSC Lokeren Temse: 2-2-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KSC Lokeren Temse	Genk II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.9	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.79 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +13’	1.55	4.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +4’	1.79	3.18	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KSC Lokeren Temse 2–2–0 Genk II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	2-2 HT 1-1	KSC Lokeren Temse
14/12/25 Belgium First Division B	KSC Lokeren Temse	2-2 HT 0-1	Genk II
02/03/25 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	1-2 HT 1-1	KSC Lokeren Temse
03/11/24 Belgium First Division B	KSC Lokeren Temse	4-0 HT 3-0	Genk II

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excelsior Virton	2	2	0	4	0	6
2	KSC Lokeren Temse	2	2	0	4	1	6
3	Sporting Hasselt	2	2	0	2	0	6
4	Eupen	2	1	1	5	3	3
5	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	2	1	1	4	2	3
6	Club Brugge II	1	1	0	3	2	3
7	FCV Dender EH	2	1	1	2	1	3
8	RFC Liege	2	1	1	4	4	3
9	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2	1	1	3	3	3
10	Francs Borains	2	1	1	2	2	3
11	Lierse Kempenzonen	2	1	1	2	4	3
12	Anderlecht II	2	0	2	1	3	0
13	Seraing United	2	0	2	2	5	0
14	Genk II	2	0	2	3	7	0
15	Gent II	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KSC Lokeren Temse	Genk II
Eupen	2-1 W	1-4 L
Seraing United	2-0 W	2-2 D
Lierse Kempenzonen	1-1 D	2-3 L
Gent II	4-1 W	1-1 D
Francs Borains	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KSC Lokeren Temse (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KSC Lokeren Temse

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
14/08	Seraing United Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/04	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
10/04	Seraing United Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
03/04	Genk II Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
21/03	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	1-1	4-2	6	3	W
15/03	Gent II Belgium First Division B	3-0	4-1	13	5	W
12/03	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-1	15	3	L
08/03	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
21/02	Lommel Belgium First Division B	0-1	2-3	4	4	L

Genk II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-3	8	1	L
15/08	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-4	10	3	L
17/04	Gent II Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
11/04	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
03/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
20/03	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
14/03	Seraing United Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
10/03	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
06/03	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
28/02	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KSC Lokeren Temse vs Genk II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KSC Lokeren Temse win (58%). Probabilities: KSC Lokeren Temse 58%, draw 22%, Genk II 20%.

How many goals are expected in KSC Lokeren Temse vs Genk II?

The model expects 3.46 goals (KSC Lokeren Temse 2.2 · Genk II 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KSC Lokeren Temse vs Genk II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.