Football · Belgium First Division B · 30/08, 19:15

Prediction: Seraing United vs Lierse Kempenzonen

Team pages: Seraing United · Lierse Kempenzonen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Seraing United1.31

Lierse Kempenzonen1.17

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Seraing United Draw Lierse Kempenzonen

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Seraing United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWDLLL

Lierse Kempenzonen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Seraing United 1–2–3 Lierse Kempenzonen (6 last)

Lierse Kempenzonen0-1Seraing United
Seraing United1-1Lierse Kempenzonen
Seraing United0-2Lierse Kempenzonen
Lierse Kempenzonen3-2Seraing United
Seraing United1-1Lierse Kempenzonen
Lierse Kempenzonen1-0Seraing United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seraing United 1482 · Lierse Kempenzonen 1519

	Seraing United	Draw	Lierse Kempenzonen
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lierse Kempenzonen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Seraing United	Lierse Kempenzonen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:38 +13’	2.25	3.30	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Seraing United 1–2–3 Lierse Kempenzonen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Belgium First Division B	Lierse Kempenzonen	0-1 HT 0-0	Seraing United
24/10/25 Belgium First Division B	Seraing United	1-1 HT 0-1	Lierse Kempenzonen
28/01/25 Belgium First Division B	Seraing United	0-2 HT 0-2	Lierse Kempenzonen
24/08/24 Belgium First Division B	Lierse Kempenzonen	3-2 HT 2-1	Seraing United
27/01/24 Belgium First Division B	Seraing United	1-1 HT 1-0	Lierse Kempenzonen
21/10/23 Belgium First Division B	Lierse Kempenzonen	1-0 HT 0-0	Seraing United

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excelsior Virton	2	2	0	4	0	6
2	KSC Lokeren Temse	2	2	0	4	1	6
3	Sporting Hasselt	2	2	0	2	0	6
4	Eupen	2	1	1	5	3	3
5	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	2	1	1	4	2	3
6	Club Brugge II	1	1	0	3	2	3
7	FCV Dender EH	2	1	1	2	1	3
8	RFC Liege	2	1	1	4	4	3
9	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2	1	1	3	3	3
10	Francs Borains	2	1	1	2	2	3
11	Lierse Kempenzonen	2	1	1	2	4	3
12	Anderlecht II	2	0	2	1	3	0
13	Seraing United	2	0	2	2	5	0
14	Genk II	2	0	2	3	7	0
15	Gent II	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Seraing United	Lierse Kempenzonen
Club Brugge II	2-3 L	2-1 W
KSC Lokeren Temse	0-2 L	1-1 D
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2-0 W	2-1 W
Eupen	0-0 D	1-0 W
Genk II	2-2 D	3-2 W
ROC Charleroi	4-2 W	1-0 W
Francs Borains	4-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lierse Kempenzonen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seraing United

WWWDDWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-1	2-3	3	5	L
14/08	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
17/04	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
10/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	1	9	D
05/04	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
20/03	Eupen Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
14/03	Genk II Belgium First Division B	0-2	2-2	7	2	D
11/03	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	1-0	4-2	1	4	W
08/03	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	3-0	4-0	2	5	W
01/03	Lommel Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Lierse Kempenzonen

WWWLDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
15/08	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-3	8	5	L
17/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/04	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
04/04	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
21/03	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Division B	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
13/03	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
10/03	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
07/03	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
28/02	Genk II Belgium First Division B	2-1	3-2	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seraing United vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Seraing United win (39%). Probabilities: Seraing United 39%, draw 28%, Lierse Kempenzonen 33%.

How many goals are expected in Seraing United vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Seraing United 1.31 · Lierse Kempenzonen 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Seraing United vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.