Football · Belgium First Division B · 04/09, 20:00
Prediction: KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Team pages: KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1.78
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen1.07
1X2
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Draw
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
2–2–2
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
(6 last)
- KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk2-2Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen1-1KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen0-4KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
- KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk0-2Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk0-1Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen0-2KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1547 · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1494
| KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | Draw | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk (rating 1547 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 2–2–2 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Belgium First Division B | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 23/04/26 Belgium First Division A Play-Offs | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 20/03/26 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 0-4 HT 0-2 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 13/12/25 Belgium First Division B | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 19/04/24 Belgium First Division B | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 01/12/23 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 0-2 HT 0-1 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk |
Standings · Belgium First Division B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Excelsior Virton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Club Brugge II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | FCV Dender EH | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | KSC Lokeren Temse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Francs Borains | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Eupen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | RFC Liege | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Genk II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 13 | Gent II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Seraing United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Anderlecht II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht II | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| RFC Liege | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 22/08 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Gent II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Lommel Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/04 | Eupen Belgium First Division B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/03 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Genk II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Francs Borains Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Seraing United Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/03 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 07/03 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk win (53%). Probabilities: KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 53%, draw 26%, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 21%.
How many goals are expected in KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
The model expects 2.85 goals (KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1.78 · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.