Football · Belgium First Division B · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: Eupen vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Team pages: Eupen · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Eupen1.61

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1.84

1X2

32% 25% 42%

Eupen Draw KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Eupen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLWWWW

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Eupen 4–2–0 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk (6 last)

Eupen3-3KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1-1Eupen
Eupen1-0KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk0-3Eupen
Eupen3-1KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk0-1Eupen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eupen 1572 · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1595

	Eupen	Draw	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	32%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eupen: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eupen	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.40

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.80▲	Pinn 3.19 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.46
2	2.25 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:19 +2’	2.70	3.40	2.25
11:56 +31’	2.80▲	3.40	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:43 +338’	2.87	3.40	2.36
09:55 +23’	2.97▲	3.42▲	2.29▼
11:45 +42’	3.19▲	3.46▲	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eupen 4–2–0 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Belgium First Division B	Eupen	3-3 HT 2-1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
16/08/25 Belgium First Division B	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	1-1 HT 0-1	Eupen
11/12/21 Belgium First Division A	Eupen	1-0 HT 1-0	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
25/09/21 Belgium First Division A	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0-3 HT 0-1	Eupen
20/01/21 Belgium First Division A	Eupen	3-1 HT 2-1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
06/12/20 Belgium First Division A	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0-1 HT 0-1	Eupen

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	7	6	0	1	18	6	18
2	FCV Dender EH	7	6	0	1	11	2	18
3	Eupen	6	5	0	1	13	5	15
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8	10	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	3	1	2	11	6	10
7	KSC Lokeren Temse	6	3	1	2	13	11	10
8	Lierse Kempenzonen	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Gent II	6	2	2	2	9	11	8
11	Genk II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
12	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	7	2	0	5	8	12	6
13	RFC Liege	7	1	2	4	11	18	5
14	RFC Seraing	7	0	2	5	8	15	2
15	Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7	17	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eupen	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Anderlecht II	2-0 W	1-0 W
RFC Liege	3-1 W	5-1 W
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eupen

DWDLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
19/09	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	2-0	3-1	8	3	W
13/09	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
05/09	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
21/08	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
15/08	Genk II Belgium First Division B	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
17/04	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
10/04	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
04/04	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
20/03	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

DWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	0-1	5-1	9	1	W
19/09	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
11/09	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
04/09	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-1	4-2	9	4	W
29/08	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
22/08	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
16/08	Gent II Belgium First Division B	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
27/04	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
17/04	Lommel Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
10/04	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-2	3-3	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eupen vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk win (42%). Probabilities: Eupen 32%, draw 25%, KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 42%.

How many goals are expected in Eupen vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Eupen 1.61 · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1.84), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Eupen vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.