Football · Belgium First Division B · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege

Team pages: RFC Liege

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

RFC Seraing1.89

RFC Liege1.63

1X2

43% 24% 33%

RFC Seraing Draw RFC Liege

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

RFC Seraing 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLLDLW

RFC Liege 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RFC Seraing 0–1–5 RFC Liege (6 last)

RFC Seraing2-2RFC Liege
RFC Liege2-0RFC Seraing
RFC Liege2-1RFC Seraing
RFC Seraing0-3RFC Liege
RFC Seraing0-4RFC Liege
RFC Liege2-1RFC Seraing

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RFC Liege: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RFC Seraing	RFC Liege
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	3.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.26▼	Pinn 2.26
X	3.39 → 3.56▲	Pinn 3.56
2	2.74 → 2.92▲	Pinn 2.92

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +46’	2.40	3.39	2.74
20:29 +43’	2.26▼	3.56▲	2.92▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RFC Seraing 0–1–5 RFC Liege

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Belgium First Division B	RFC Seraing	2-2 HT 0-2	RFC Liege
17/08/25 Belgium First Division B	RFC Liege	2-0 HT 2-0	RFC Seraing
31/01/25 Belgium First Division B	RFC Liege	2-1 HT 1-0	RFC Seraing
29/09/24 Belgium First Division B	RFC Seraing	0-3 HT 0-1	RFC Liege
17/02/24 Belgium First Division B	RFC Seraing	0-4 HT 0-1	RFC Liege
03/12/23 Belgium First Division B	RFC Liege	2-1 HT 1-0	RFC Seraing

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	8	7	0	1	20	7	21
2	FCV Dender EH	7	6	0	1	11	2	18
3	Eupen	7	5	0	2	14	7	15
4	KSC Lokeren Temse	7	4	1	2	15	11	13
5	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
6	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8	10	12
7	Excelsior Virton	7	3	1	3	12	9	10
8	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	8	3	0	5	11	14	9
9	Club Brugge II	7	2	3	2	11	13	9
10	Lierse Kempenzonen	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
11	Genk II	8	2	2	4	12	15	8
12	Gent II	7	2	2	3	9	13	8
13	RFC Seraing	8	1	2	5	11	16	5
14	RFC Liege	8	1	2	5	13	21	5
15	Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7	17	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RFC Seraing	RFC Liege
Gent II	2-3 L	2-0 W
Genk II	2-2 D	3-2 W
FCV Dender EH	0-2 L	1-2 L
Lierse Kempenzonen	1-1 D	0-0 D
Club Brugge II	2-3 L	4-4 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RFC Liege (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RFC Seraing

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	1-1	3-1	2	5	W
11/10	Gent II Belgium First Division B	2-1	2-3	1	6	L
19/09	Genk II Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
12/09	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
04/09	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
30/08	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-1	2-3	3	5	L
14/08	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/04	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
10/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	1	9	D

RFC Liege

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-5	3	1	L
19/09	Eupen Belgium First Division B	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
13/09	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	2-2	4-4	6	2	D
06/09	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
29/08	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
23/08	Genk II Belgium First Division B	2-1	3-2	3	1	W
17/08	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
27/04	Lommel Belgium First Division B	1-2	1-2	11	3	L
17/04	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
12/04	Gent II Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RFC Seraing win (43%). Probabilities: RFC Seraing 43%, draw 24%, RFC Liege 33%.

How many goals are expected in RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

The model expects 3.51 goals (RFC Seraing 1.89 · RFC Liege 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.