Football · Belgium First Division B · 24/10, 20:00

Prediction: KSC Lokeren Temse vs Gent II

Team pages: KSC Lokeren Temse · Gent II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

KSC Lokeren Temse2.33

Gent II1.25

1X2

60% 22% 18%

KSC Lokeren Temse Draw Gent II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KSC Lokeren Temse 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWLLWD

Gent II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWDLDW

Head-to-head

KSC Lokeren Temse 3–2–0 Gent II (5 last)

KSC Lokeren Temse4-1Gent II
Gent II1-3KSC Lokeren Temse
KSC Lokeren Temse2-1Gent II
KSC Lokeren Temse2-2Gent II
Gent II1-1KSC Lokeren Temse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KSC Lokeren Temse 1548 · Gent II 1479

	KSC Lokeren Temse	Draw	Gent II
Our model	61%	21%	19%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KSC Lokeren Temse (rating 1548 vs 1479).
H2H favours KSC Lokeren Temse: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KSC Lokeren Temse	Gent II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.1	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.51
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.42 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +3’	1.48	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +170’	1.58	4.22	4.86
02:37 +56’	1.43▼	4.65▲	6.21▲
10:17 +13’	1.44▲	4.61▼	6.12▼
10:52 +55’	1.49▲	4.42▼	5.61▼
12:36 +39’	1.51▲	4.42	5.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KSC Lokeren Temse 3–2–0 Gent II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Belgium First Division B	KSC Lokeren Temse	4-1 HT 3-0	Gent II
07/12/25 Belgium First Division B	Gent II	1-3 HT 1-3	KSC Lokeren Temse
27/07/24 Europe Friendlies	KSC Lokeren Temse	2-1 HT 1-1	Gent II
17/02/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	KSC Lokeren Temse	2-2 HT 0-1	Gent II
24/09/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	Gent II	1-1 HT 0-0	KSC Lokeren Temse

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	7	6	0	1	18	6	18
2	FCV Dender EH	7	6	0	1	11	2	18
3	Eupen	6	5	0	1	13	5	15
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8	10	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	3	1	2	11	6	10
7	KSC Lokeren Temse	6	3	1	2	13	11	10
8	Lierse Kempenzonen	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Gent II	6	2	2	2	9	11	8
11	Genk II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
12	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	7	2	0	5	8	12	6
13	RFC Liege	7	1	2	4	11	18	5
14	RFC Seraing	7	0	2	5	8	15	2
15	Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7	17	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KSC Lokeren Temse	Gent II
Anderlecht II	6-2 W	2-2 D
Genk II	2-4 L	1-1 D
RFC Seraing	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KSC Lokeren Temse (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KSC Lokeren Temse

WDDDWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	2-1	6-2	2	4	W
06/09	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
28/08	Genk II Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-4	12	2	L
21/08	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
14/08	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/04	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
10/04	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
03/04	Genk II Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
21/03	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	1-1	4-2	6	3	W

Gent II

WLLDLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
18/09	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/09	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
05/09	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	2-1	2-2	1	2	D
28/08	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
16/08	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
17/04	Genk II Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
12/04	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
03/04	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
21/03	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-0	3-2	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KSC Lokeren Temse vs Gent II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KSC Lokeren Temse win (60%). Probabilities: KSC Lokeren Temse 60%, draw 22%, Gent II 18%.

How many goals are expected in KSC Lokeren Temse vs Gent II?

The model expects 3.58 goals (KSC Lokeren Temse 2.33 · Gent II 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KSC Lokeren Temse vs Gent II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.