Football · Belgium First Division B · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Genk II vs Club Brugge II

Team pages: Genk II · Club Brugge II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Genk II1.79

Club Brugge II1.62

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Genk II Draw Club Brugge II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Genk II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLLWWLDL

Club Brugge II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWLDDL

Head-to-head

Genk II 1–1–4 Club Brugge II (6 last)

Genk II0-0Club Brugge II
Club Brugge II1-2Genk II
Club Brugge II3-0Genk II
Genk II1-2Club Brugge II
Club Brugge II2-1Genk II
Genk II0-3Club Brugge II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Genk II 1478 · Club Brugge II 1492

	Genk II	Draw	Club Brugge II
Our model	41%	24%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club Brugge II: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Genk II	Club Brugge II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.5	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.99 ★
2	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.69

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.8% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +4’	2.15	3.60	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +406’	2.25	3.99	2.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Genk II 1–1–4 Club Brugge II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/26 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	0-0 HT 0-0	Club Brugge II
31/08/25 Belgium First Division B	Club Brugge II	1-2 HT 0-2	Genk II
14/03/25 Belgium First Division B	Club Brugge II	3-0 HT 2-0	Genk II
09/11/24 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	1-2 HT 0-1	Club Brugge II
01/03/24 Belgium First Division B	Club Brugge II	2-1 HT 1-1	Genk II
25/08/23 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	0-3 HT 0-2	Club Brugge II

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	7	6	0	1	18	6	18
2	FCV Dender EH	7	6	0	1	11	2	18
3	Eupen	6	5	0	1	13	5	15
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	8	10	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	3	1	2	11	6	10
7	KSC Lokeren Temse	6	3	1	2	13	11	10
8	Lierse Kempenzonen	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
10	Gent II	6	2	2	2	9	11	8
11	Genk II	7	2	1	4	12	15	7
12	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	7	2	0	5	8	12	6
13	RFC Liege	7	1	2	4	11	18	5
14	RFC Seraing	7	0	2	5	8	15	2
15	Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7	17	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Genk II	Club Brugge II
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0-1 L	2-1 W
RFC Seraing	2-2 D	3-2 W
RFC Liege	2-3 L	4-4 D
Eupen	1-4 L	0-1 L
Gent II	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club Brugge II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genk II

DDDLLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
19/09	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	0-2	2-2	13	5	D
12/09	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
05/09	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
28/08	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	2-1	4-2	6	2	W
23/08	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-3	8	1	L
15/08	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-4	10	3	L
17/04	Gent II Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
11/04	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
03/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	3	4	D

Club Brugge II

DLLWWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
18/09	Gent II Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
13/09	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	2-2	4-4	6	2	D
05/09	Eupen Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
29/08	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
22/08	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	1-0	3-2	3	5	W
11/04	Lommel Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
04/04	Eupen Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
21/03	Gent II Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-3	1	4	L
14/03	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-2	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genk II vs Club Brugge II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Genk II win (41%). Probabilities: Genk II 41%, draw 25%, Club Brugge II 34%.

How many goals are expected in Genk II vs Club Brugge II?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Genk II 1.79 · Club Brugge II 1.62), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Genk II vs Club Brugge II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.