Prediction: Linfield (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)
Expected goals: 4.39 (Linfield (W) 3.2 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1.2). The model gives 80% home, 12% draw, 8% away. Over 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Linfield (W) sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while Lisburn Rangers (W) arrives on a 4-0-6 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Linfield (W) and 1 for Lisburn Rangers (W).
| Linfield (W) | Draw | Lisburn Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (W) (rating 1551 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Linfield (W): 3-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Linfield (W) | Lisburn Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.5 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield (W) 3–0–1 Lisburn Rangers (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Linfield (W) |
| 29/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Linfield (W) |
| 27/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Linfield (W) | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 23/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Linfield (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glentoran (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Cliftonville (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Linfield (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 5 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Derry City (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 6 |
| 7 | Larne FC (W) | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 2 |
| 8 | Lisburn (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Linfield (W) | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | 9-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Galway (W) | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Cliftonville (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Larne FC (W) | 9-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Derry City (W) | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Glentoran (W) | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Linfield (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linfield (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 9-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 8-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Sligo Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
5-0 | 9-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 01/04 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Lisburn Rangers (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/09 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 1-8 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linfield (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Linfield (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Linfield (W) 80%, draw 12%, Lisburn Rangers (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Linfield (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Linfield (W) 3.2 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Linfield (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.