Prediction: Derry City (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)
Expected goals: 4.12 (Derry City (W) 1.93 · Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.18). The model gives 34% home, 23% draw, 43% away. Over 3.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Derry City (W) is 4-0-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Crusaders Strikers (W) 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Derry City (W) and 3 for Crusaders Strikers (W).
| Derry City (W) | Draw | Crusaders Strikers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Derry City (W) | Crusaders Strikers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.3 | 2.2 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derry City (W) 3–0–3 Crusaders Strikers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Derry City (W) |
| 12/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Derry City (W) |
| 05/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Derry City (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 09/05/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 4-2 HT 4-1 | Derry City (W) |
| 23/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Derry City (W) |
| 09/08/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Derry City (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glentoran (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Cliftonville (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Linfield (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 5 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Derry City (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 6 |
| 7 | Larne FC (W) | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 2 |
| 8 | Lisburn (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Derry City (W) | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Glentoran (W) | 1-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Cliftonville (W) | 1-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Larne FC (W) | 6-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Lisburn (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Lisburn Rangers (W) | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Linfield (W) | 0-5 L | 1-9 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Derry City (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derry City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Crusaders Strikers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-9 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derry City (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Crusaders Strikers (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Derry City (W) 34%, draw 23%, Crusaders Strikers (W) 43%.
How many goals are expected in Derry City (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)?
The model expects 4.12 goals (Derry City (W) 1.93 · Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.18), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Derry City (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.