Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 10/07, 20:45

Prediction: Linfield (W) vs Glentoran (W)

Expected goals: 4.07 (Linfield (W) 2.03 · Glentoran (W) 2.03). The model gives 38% home, 24% draw, 38% away. Over 3.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Linfield (W) sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while Glentoran (W) arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Linfield (W) and 5 for Glentoran (W), with 1 draw.

38%1
38% 24% 38%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linfield (W) 1540 · Glentoran (W) 1552
Linfield (W)DrawGlentoran (W)
Our model39%22%39%
Market38%25%38%
Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.07Linfield (W) 2.03 · Glentoran (W) 2.03
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 57%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Glentoran (W): 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 14.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Linfield (W)Glentoran (W)
Goals for / against (FT)4.5 / 1.33.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)2.5 / 0.52 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.43.2 / 8.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 0.21.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield (W) 015 Glentoran (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Northern Ireland League Cup Women
Glentoran (W)3-1
HT 2-1
Linfield (W)
05/10/25
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Linfield (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Glentoran (W)
14/09/25
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Glentoran (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Linfield (W)
16/06/25
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Linfield (W)2-6
HT 1-3
Glentoran (W)
11/10/24
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Glentoran (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Linfield (W)
26/07/24
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Linfield (W)1-2
HT 0-0
Glentoran (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Linfield (W) 6501 36515
2 Glentoran (W) 5500 24315
3 Cliftonville (W) 5500 23315
4 Crusaders Strikers (W) 8323 172711
5 Lisburn Rangers (W) 6303 10139
6 Derry City (W) 8215 15237
7 Lisburn (W) 8116 4294
8 Larne FC (W) 8026 5312

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLinfield (W)Glentoran (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W) 3-0 W 5-0 W
Crusaders Strikers (W) 9-1 W 4-2 W
Lisburn (W) 8-1 W 7-0 W
Cliftonville (W) 2-3 L 0-4 L
Larne FC (W) 9-0 W 5-0 W
Derry City (W) 5-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Linfield (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linfield (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Lisburn Rangers (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
3-0 3-0 41 W
26/06 Crusaders Strikers (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
4-1 9-1 61 W
19/06 Lisburn (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
3-1 8-1 140 W
13/06 Galway (W)
Women’s Friendly
1-0 2-3 34 L
30/05 Sligo Rovers (W)
Women’s Friendly
2-0 5-0 37 W
22/05 Cliftonville (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
2-1 2-3 11 L
15/05 Larne FC (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
5-0 9-0 120 W
01/05 Derry City (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
4-0 5-0 W
26/04 Glentoran (W)
Northern Ireland League Cup Women
1-2 1-3 43 L
05/04 Shamrock Rovers (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-0 1-2 20 L

Glentoran (W)

WWWLWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Cliftonville (W)
Northern Ireland League Cup Women
0-2 0-4 25 L
28/06 Derry City (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
2-0 3-1 81 W
19/06 Crusaders Strikers (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
3-0 4-2 162 W
30/05 Shelbourne (W)
Women’s Friendly
1-3 1-6 02 L
22/05 Larne FC (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
3-0 5-0 120 W
17/05 Lisburn (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
4-0 7-0 191 W
10/05 Waterford FC (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-1 0-1 101 L
01/05 Lisburn Rangers (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
3-0 5-0 W
26/04 Linfield (W)
Northern Ireland League Cup Women
2-1 3-1 53 W
22/04 Crusaders Strikers (W)
Northern Ireland League Cup Women
2-0 4-1 81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linfield (W) vs Glentoran (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Linfield (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Linfield (W) 38%, draw 24%, Glentoran (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in Linfield (W) vs Glentoran (W)?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Linfield (W) 2.03 · Glentoran (W) 2.03), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Linfield (W) vs Glentoran (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.