Prediction: Larne FC (W) vs Lisburn (W)
Expected goals: 3.02 (Larne FC (W) 1.53 · Lisburn (W) 1.48). The model gives 38% home, 26% draw, 36% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Larne FC (W) with 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; Lisburn (W) has piled up 2-1-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Larne FC (W) won 0 and Lisburn (W) 4, with 2 draws.
| Larne FC (W) | Draw | Lisburn (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lisburn (W): 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Larne FC (W) | Lisburn (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 3.6 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/10/90% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Larne FC (W) 0–2–4 Lisburn (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Larne FC (W) |
| 08/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Larne FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lisburn (W) |
| 05/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Larne FC (W) |
| 16/05/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Larne FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Lisburn (W) |
| 02/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Larne FC (W) |
| 05/05/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Larne FC (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Lisburn (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glentoran (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Cliftonville (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Linfield (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 10 |
| 5 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Derry City (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 6 |
| 7 | Larne FC (W) | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 2 |
| 8 | Lisburn (W) | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Larne FC (W) | Lisburn (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville (W) | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Derry City (W) | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Glentoran (W) | 0-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Linfield (W) | 0-9 L | 1-8 L |
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Larne FC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Larne FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-9 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/10 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Lisburn (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-8 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/10 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Larne FC (W) vs Lisburn (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Larne FC (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Larne FC (W) 38%, draw 26%, Lisburn (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Larne FC (W) vs Lisburn (W)?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Larne FC (W) 1.53 · Lisburn (W) 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Larne FC (W) vs Lisburn (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.