Football · Austria Cup · 25/07, 17:00
Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Grazer AK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
SR Fach-Donaufeld0.99
Grazer AK2.6
1X2
SR Fach-Donaufeld
Draw
Grazer AK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
SR Fach-Donaufeld
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Grazer AK
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1479 · Grazer AK 1473
| SR Fach-Donaufeld | Draw | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| Market | 12% | 16% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SR Fach-Donaufeld | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.6 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SR Fach-Donaufeld
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 1-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 03/07 | SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Grazer AK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Dynamo Dresden Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | First Vienna FC 1894 Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | Gyori ETO Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Grazer AK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Grazer AK win (71%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 12%, draw 17%, Grazer AK 71%.
How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Grazer AK?
The model expects 3.59 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 0.99 · Grazer AK 2.6), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Grazer AK?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.