Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 19:00
Prediction: Atus Velden vs Austria Klagenfurt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Atus Velden1.87
Austria Klagenfurt1.44
1X2
Atus Velden
Draw
Austria Klagenfurt
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atus Velden
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Austria Klagenfurt
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atus Velden 1567 · Austria Klagenfurt 1505
| Atus Velden | Draw | Austria Klagenfurt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atus Velden (rating 1567 vs 1505).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atus Velden | Austria Klagenfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atus Velden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/07 | Lendorf Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | SV Lebring Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | KAC 1909 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Union Gurten Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Askoe Oedt Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Austria Klagenfurt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | ASK Voitsberg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | KAC 1909 Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 6-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/06 | SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | St Polten Austria 2. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atus Velden vs Austria Klagenfurt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atus Velden win (47%). Probabilities: Atus Velden 47%, draw 24%, Austria Klagenfurt 29%.
How many goals are expected in Atus Velden vs Austria Klagenfurt?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Atus Velden 1.87 · Austria Klagenfurt 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atus Velden vs Austria Klagenfurt?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.