Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Slovan Galanta vs FK Humenne

Team pages: Slovan Galanta · FK Humenne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Slovan Galanta1.95

FK Humenne0.99

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Slovan Galanta Draw FK Humenne

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Galanta 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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FK Humenne 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Galanta 0–1 FK Humenne (1 last)

Slovan Galanta1-2FK Humenne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Galanta 1543 · FK Humenne 1446

	Slovan Galanta	Draw	FK Humenne
Our model	59%	24%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slovan Galanta (rating 1543 vs 1446).
Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Galanta	FK Humenne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.2	6.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +4’	1.50	4.33	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Galanta 0–0–1 FK Humenne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/10/21 Slovakia Cup	Slovan Galanta	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Humenne

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	13	9	3	1	23	9	30
2	STK Samorin	13	9	2	2	25	15	29
3	FK Pohronie	13	7	2	4	21	16	23
4	MSK Povazska Bystrica	13	7	2	4	26	23	23
5	Slovan Galanta	13	7	1	5	20	20	22
6	MSK Zilina B	13	6	3	4	17	14	21
7	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	29	17	20
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
9	FC Tatran Presov	13	5	4	4	18	19	19
10	Slovan Bratislava B	13	4	4	5	19	17	16
11	OFK Banik Lehota	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	13	3	4	6	14	16	13
13	OFK Malzenice	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
14	FK Humenne	13	3	2	8	9	20	11
15	MFK Bytca	13	3	0	10	14	33	9
16	MFK Zvolen	13	1	3	9	9	22	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Galanta	FK Humenne
MFK Bytca	2-1 W	1-4 L
MSK Zilina B	3-2 W	0-0 D
MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-3 L	1-2 L
OFK Banik Lehota	4-1 W	0-1 L
Slovan Bratislava B	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Pohronie	2-0 W	0-2 L
Inter Bratislava	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan Galanta (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Galanta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	12	9	W
11/10	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	5	W
03/10	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	6	L
26/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	4-1	1	3	W
20/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
12/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	2-3	3	8	L
05/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
29/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
22/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
15/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	6	L

FK Humenne

LWLLLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
10/10	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-4	7	7	L
03/10	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	10	7	L
28/09	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
19/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	13	D
12/09	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
05/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
29/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	0	6	L
22/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	9	W
17/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Galanta vs FK Humenne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovan Galanta win (60%). Probabilities: Slovan Galanta 60%, draw 22%, FK Humenne 18%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Galanta vs FK Humenne?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Slovan Galanta 1.95 · FK Humenne 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Galanta vs FK Humenne?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.