Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 01/11, 20:30

Prediction: FC Petrzalka vs MSK Povazska Bystrica

Team pages: FC Petrzalka · MSK Povazska Bystrica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

FC Petrzalka1.96

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.05

1X2

58% 23% 19%

FC Petrzalka Draw MSK Povazska Bystrica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Petrzalka 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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MSK Povazska Bystrica 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Petrzalka 1–1–4 MSK Povazska Bystrica (6 last)

MSK Povazska Bystrica2-1FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka1-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
FC Petrzalka1-1MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica3-1FC Petrzalka
MSK Povazska Bystrica2-1FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka0-1MSK Povazska Bystrica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Petrzalka 1530 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1521

	FC Petrzalka	Draw	MSK Povazska Bystrica
Our model	58%	24%	19%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MSK Povazska Bystrica: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Petrzalka	MSK Povazska Bystrica
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	1.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.4	3.6 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:13 +10’	1.57	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Petrzalka 1–1–4 MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
06/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-0 HT 1-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
30/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-1 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
31/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	3-1 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
16/03/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Petrzalka
27/08/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	0-1 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	STK Samorin	14	10	2	2	27	16	32
2	FC Petrzalka	14	9	3	2	23	10	30
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	14	8	2	4	28	24	26
4	MSK Zilina B	14	7	3	4	19	15	24
5	Slovan Galanta	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
6	FK Pohronie	14	7	2	5	22	18	23
7	FC Tatran Presov	14	6	4	4	21	19	22
8	Inter Bratislava	14	5	6	3	31	19	21
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	14	5	4	5	19	16	19
10	OFK Banik Lehota	14	5	4	5	19	20	19
11	Slovan Bratislava B	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
12	OFK Malzenice	14	4	3	7	19	21	15
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	14	3	4	7	14	19	13
14	FK Humenne	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
15	MFK Bytca	14	3	0	11	14	36	9
16	MFK Zvolen	14	1	3	10	10	24	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Petrzalka	MSK Povazska Bystrica
OFK Banik Lehota	0-1 L	2-1 W
Slovan Bratislava B	1-1 D	1-1 D
STK Samorin	1-1 D	1-4 L
FK Humenne	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-0 W	2-1 W
MFK Zvolen	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
18/10	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
04/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
26/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
21/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	8	6	L
05/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
24/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W

MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
17/10	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
10/10	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	3-2	9	6	W
26/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	9	1	W
20/09	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-3	2-4	10	1	L
12/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
05/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
30/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
22/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Petrzalka vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Petrzalka win (58%). Probabilities: FC Petrzalka 58%, draw 23%, MSK Povazska Bystrica 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Petrzalka vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

The model expects 3.01 goals (FC Petrzalka 1.96 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Petrzalka vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.