Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: MFK Zvolen vs MFK Bytca

Team pages: MFK Zvolen · MFK Bytca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

MFK Zvolen2.06

MFK Bytca0.86

1X2

65% 21% 15%

MFK Zvolen Draw MFK Bytca

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Zvolen 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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MFK Bytca 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Zvolen 1453 · MFK Bytca 1448

	MFK Zvolen	Draw	MFK Bytca
Our model	64%	22%	14%
Market	65%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Zvolen	MFK Bytca
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.9	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.9	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:07 +4’	1.40	4.75	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	STK Samorin	14	10	2	2	27	16	32
2	FC Petrzalka	14	9	3	2	23	10	30
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	14	8	2	4	28	24	26
4	MSK Zilina B	14	7	3	4	19	15	24
5	Slovan Galanta	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
6	FK Pohronie	14	7	2	5	22	18	23
7	FC Tatran Presov	14	6	4	4	21	19	22
8	Inter Bratislava	14	5	6	3	31	19	21
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	14	5	4	5	19	16	19
10	OFK Banik Lehota	14	5	4	5	19	20	19
11	Slovan Bratislava B	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
12	OFK Malzenice	14	4	3	7	19	21	15
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	14	3	4	7	14	19	13
14	FK Humenne	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
15	MFK Bytca	14	3	0	11	14	36	9
16	MFK Zvolen	14	1	3	10	10	24	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Zvolen	MFK Bytca
MSK Zilina B	1-2 L	1-2 L
MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-1 W	1-4 L
OFK Banik Lehota	0-1 L	2-1 W
Slovan Bratislava B	0-2 L	0-2 L
STK Samorin	1-3 L	1-2 L
OFK Malzenice	1-2 L	1-3 L
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Bytca (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Zvolen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
17/10	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
10/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
03/10	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
26/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
19/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	7	L
14/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	0-4	10	2	L
05/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	11	7	L
29/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
24/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L

MFK Bytca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
17/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	9	L
10/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	7	W
03/10	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/09	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-4	4	1	L
19/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
31/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
22/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	1	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Zvolen vs MFK Bytca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Zvolen win (65%). Probabilities: MFK Zvolen 65%, draw 21%, MFK Bytca 15%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Zvolen vs MFK Bytca?

The model expects 2.92 goals (MFK Zvolen 2.06 · MFK Bytca 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Zvolen vs MFK Bytca?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.