Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs STK Samorin

Team pages: FC Vion Zlate Moravce · STK Samorin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1.45

STK Samorin1.32

1X2

39% 27% 34%

FC Vion Zlate Moravce Draw STK Samorin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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STK Samorin 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 3–1–2 STK Samorin (6 last)

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1-2STK Samorin
STK Samorin3-3FC Vion Zlate Moravce
STK Samorin0-2FC Vion Zlate Moravce
STK Samorin1-2FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce1-2STK Samorin
FC Vion Zlate Moravce5-1STK Samorin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1440 · STK Samorin 1597

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	Draw	STK Samorin
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours STK Samorin (rating 1440 vs 1597).
H2H favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	STK Samorin
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	2.7 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	6.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:59 +15’	2.30	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 3–1–2 STK Samorin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-2 HT 0-1	STK Samorin
27/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	3-3 HT 2-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
18/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
11/01/25 Czechia Tipsport Liga	STK Samorin	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
27/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-2 HT 1-1	STK Samorin
14/01/23 Europe Friendlies	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	5-1 HT 1-0	STK Samorin

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	STK Samorin	14	10	2	2	27	16	32
2	FC Petrzalka	14	9	3	2	23	10	30
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	14	8	2	4	28	24	26
4	MSK Zilina B	14	7	3	4	19	15	24
5	Slovan Galanta	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
6	FK Pohronie	14	7	2	5	22	18	23
7	FC Tatran Presov	14	6	4	4	21	19	22
8	Inter Bratislava	14	5	6	3	31	19	21
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	14	5	4	5	19	16	19
10	OFK Banik Lehota	14	5	4	5	19	20	19
11	Slovan Bratislava B	14	4	5	5	21	19	17
12	OFK Malzenice	14	4	3	7	19	21	15
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	14	3	4	7	14	19	13
14	FK Humenne	14	3	3	8	12	23	12
15	MFK Bytca	14	3	0	11	14	36	9
16	MFK Zvolen	14	1	3	10	10	24	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	STK Samorin
FK Pohronie	1-3 L	2-1 W
Inter Bratislava	2-2 D	2-2 D
FC Petrzalka	0-2 L	1-1 D
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-0 D	0-2 L
MFK Zvolen	4-0 W	3-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	1-0 W	1-0 W
Slovan Galanta	0-1 L	3-2 W
MFK Bytca	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: STK Samorin (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vion Zlate Moravce

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
17/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	8	L
12/10	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	5	7	L
03/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
26/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
18/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
14/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
05/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
29/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
22/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L

STK Samorin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
17/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
11/10	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
05/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
26/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
19/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
12/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	8	W
05/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
29/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
22/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-1	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs STK Samorin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vion Zlate Moravce win (39%). Probabilities: FC Vion Zlate Moravce 39%, draw 27%, STK Samorin 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs STK Samorin?

The model expects 2.77 goals (FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1.45 · STK Samorin 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs STK Samorin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.