Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Team pages: MSK Povazska Bystrica · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.73

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.46

1X2

43% 25% 32%

MSK Povazska Bystrica Draw FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Povazska Bystrica 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLWWDL

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDLDWWLW

Head-to-head

MSK Povazska Bystrica 2–1–3 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (6 last)

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas4-2MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica2-2FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MSK Povazska Bystrica2-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1-2MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica0-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1500 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1519

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Draw	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas: 3-1-2.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.2	2.5 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:19 +6’	2.10	3.60	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Povazska Bystrica 2–1–3 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	4-2 HT 1-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
30/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-2 HT 2-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
26/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
05/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	1-0 HT 1-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
13/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	1-2 HT 0-1	MSK Povazska Bystrica
23/09/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	13	9	3	1	23	9	30
2	STK Samorin	13	9	2	2	25	15	29
3	FK Pohronie	13	7	2	4	21	16	23
4	MSK Povazska Bystrica	13	7	2	4	26	23	23
5	Slovan Galanta	13	7	1	5	20	20	22
6	MSK Zilina B	13	6	3	4	17	14	21
7	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	29	17	20
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
9	FC Tatran Presov	13	5	4	4	18	19	19
10	Slovan Bratislava B	13	4	4	5	19	17	16
11	OFK Banik Lehota	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	13	3	4	6	14	16	13
13	OFK Malzenice	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
14	FK Humenne	13	3	2	8	9	20	11
15	MFK Bytca	13	3	0	10	14	33	9
16	MFK Zvolen	13	1	3	9	9	22	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Povazska Bystrica	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MFK Zvolen	1-2 L	2-2 D
FK Humenne	2-1 W	0-1 L
OFK Banik Lehota	2-1 W	1-0 W
Slovan Bratislava B	1-1 D	0-2 L
STK Samorin	1-4 L	2-0 W
OFK Malzenice	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Povazska Bystrica

WLDWWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
10/10	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	3-2	9	6	W
26/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	9	1	W
20/09	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-3	2-4	10	1	L
12/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
05/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
30/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
22/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	7	L
16/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

DLLDLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	10	W
11/10	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
05/10	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
27/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
18/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
11/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
04/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	11	7	D
30/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
22/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	14	9	L
14/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Povazska Bystrica win (43%). Probabilities: MSK Povazska Bystrica 43%, draw 25%, FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 32%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model expects 3.19 goals (MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.73 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.