Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: STK Samorin vs FK Pohronie

Team pages: STK Samorin · FK Pohronie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

STK Samorin1.71

FK Pohronie1.08

1X2

52% 25% 24%

STK Samorin Draw FK Pohronie

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

STK Samorin 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLDD

FK Pohronie 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWWD

Head-to-head

STK Samorin 2–1–3 FK Pohronie (6 last)

FK Pohronie1-0STK Samorin
STK Samorin1-1FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie3-1STK Samorin
STK Samorin2-0FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie2-0STK Samorin
STK Samorin5-3FK Pohronie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · STK Samorin 1559 · FK Pohronie 1568

	STK Samorin	Draw	FK Pohronie
Our model	51%	26%	23%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Pohronie: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	STK Samorin	FK Pohronie
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.9	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.90

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:03 +15’	1.73	3.90	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · STK Samorin 2–1–3 FK Pohronie

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	1-0 HT 1-0	STK Samorin
16/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Pohronie
07/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	3-1 HT 2-1	STK Samorin
11/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Pohronie
27/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	2-0 HT 1-0	STK Samorin
15/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	5-3 HT 3-2	FK Pohronie

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	13	9	3	1	23	9	30
2	STK Samorin	13	9	2	2	25	15	29
3	FK Pohronie	13	7	2	4	21	16	23
4	MSK Povazska Bystrica	13	7	2	4	26	23	23
5	Slovan Galanta	13	7	1	5	20	20	22
6	MSK Zilina B	13	6	3	4	17	14	21
7	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	29	17	20
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
9	FC Tatran Presov	13	5	4	4	18	19	19
10	Slovan Bratislava B	13	4	4	5	19	17	16
11	OFK Banik Lehota	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	13	3	4	6	14	16	13
13	OFK Malzenice	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
14	FK Humenne	13	3	2	8	9	20	11
15	MFK Bytca	13	3	0	10	14	33	9
16	MFK Zvolen	13	1	3	9	9	22	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	STK Samorin	FK Pohronie
Inter Bratislava	2-2 D	0-3 L
FC Petrzalka	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-2 L	2-0 W
MFK Zvolen	3-1 W	2-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	1-0 W	3-1 W
Slovan Galanta	3-2 W	0-2 L
MFK Bytca	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: STK Samorin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

STK Samorin

LWWWWWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
11/10	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
05/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
26/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
19/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
12/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	8	W
05/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
29/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
22/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-1	4	7	W
15/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L

FK Pohronie

WLWWWLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
03/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
25/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
21/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
11/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
05/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
28/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
22/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	3-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in STK Samorin vs FK Pohronie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a STK Samorin win (52%). Probabilities: STK Samorin 52%, draw 25%, FK Pohronie 24%.

How many goals are expected in STK Samorin vs FK Pohronie?

The model expects 2.79 goals (STK Samorin 1.71 · FK Pohronie 1.08), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in STK Samorin vs FK Pohronie?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.