Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: MFK Bytca vs FC Tatran Presov

Team pages: MFK Bytca · FC Tatran Presov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

MFK Bytca1.24

FC Tatran Presov2.09

1X2

21% 22% 56%

MFK Bytca Draw FC Tatran Presov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Bytca 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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FC Tatran Presov 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLDWDD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Bytca 1455 · FC Tatran Presov 1496

	MFK Bytca	Draw	FC Tatran Presov
Our model	21%	23%	56%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatran Presov (rating 1455 vs 1496).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Bytca	FC Tatran Presov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.10

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.77

2 (-1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +24’	4.20	4.10	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	13	9	3	1	23	9	30
2	STK Samorin	13	9	2	2	25	15	29
3	FK Pohronie	13	7	2	4	21	16	23
4	MSK Povazska Bystrica	13	7	2	4	26	23	23
5	Slovan Galanta	13	7	1	5	20	20	22
6	MSK Zilina B	13	6	3	4	17	14	21
7	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	29	17	20
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
9	FC Tatran Presov	13	5	4	4	18	19	19
10	Slovan Bratislava B	13	4	4	5	19	17	16
11	OFK Banik Lehota	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	13	3	4	6	14	16	13
13	OFK Malzenice	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
14	FK Humenne	13	3	2	8	9	20	11
15	MFK Bytca	13	3	0	10	14	33	9
16	MFK Zvolen	13	1	3	9	9	22	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Bytca	FC Tatran Presov
MSK Zilina B	1-2 L	1-1 D
MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-4 L	2-2 D
OFK Banik Lehota	2-1 W	3-2 W
Slovan Bratislava B	0-2 L	2-2 D
STK Samorin	1-2 L	0-1 L
OFK Malzenice	1-3 L	1-0 W
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2-1 W	0-1 L
FK Pohronie	1-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Tatran Presov (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Bytca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	9	L
10/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	7	W
03/10	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/09	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-4	4	1	L
19/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
31/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
22/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	1	9	W
14/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-3	1-3	2	5	L

FC Tatran Presov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
10/10	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	3-2	5	3	W
27/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
19/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
13/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
28/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	6	7	W
16/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	2-4	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Bytca vs FC Tatran Presov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Tatran Presov win (56%). Probabilities: MFK Bytca 21%, draw 22%, FC Tatran Presov 56%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Bytca vs FC Tatran Presov?

The model expects 3.33 goals (MFK Bytca 1.24 · FC Tatran Presov 2.09), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Bytca vs FC Tatran Presov?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.