Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Tatran Presov

Team pages: MSK Povazska Bystrica · FC Tatran Presov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.72

FC Tatran Presov1.58

1X2

40% 26% 34%

MSK Povazska Bystrica Draw FC Tatran Presov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Povazska Bystrica 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWLWW

FC Tatran Presov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLWLDW

Head-to-head

MSK Povazska Bystrica 1–1–4 FC Tatran Presov (6 last)

MSK Povazska Bystrica0-1FC Tatran Presov
FC Tatran Presov3-1MSK Povazska Bystrica
FC Tatran Presov4-1MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica1-1FC Tatran Presov
MSK Povazska Bystrica1-0FC Tatran Presov
FC Tatran Presov1-0MSK Povazska Bystrica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1559 · FC Tatran Presov 1535

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Draw	FC Tatran Presov
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Tatran Presov: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	FC Tatran Presov
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.1	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:55 +16’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1–1–4 FC Tatran Presov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Tatran Presov
14/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Tatran Presov	3-1 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
20/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Tatran Presov	4-1 HT 3-1	MSK Povazska Bystrica
11/10/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Tatran Presov
06/05/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Tatran Presov
15/10/22 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Tatran Presov	1-0 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	11	9	1	1	21	7	28
2	STK Samorin	10	9	0	1	22	10	27
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	11	7	1	3	23	19	22
4	MSK Zilina B	11	6	2	3	14	10	20
5	FK Pohronie	11	6	1	4	18	15	19
6	FC Tatran Presov	11	5	2	4	15	16	17
7	Inter Bratislava	11	4	4	3	22	13	16
8	Slovan Galanta	11	5	1	5	15	17	16
9	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	11	3	4	4	12	11	13
10	OFK Banik Lehota	11	3	4	4	17	19	13
11	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	10	3	4	3	15	12	13
12	Slovan Bratislava B	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
13	OFK Malzenice	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
14	FK Humenne	11	2	2	7	6	15	8
15	MFK Bytca	11	2	0	9	9	30	6
16	MFK Zvolen	11	0	3	8	7	20	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Povazska Bystrica	FC Tatran Presov
OFK Banik Lehota	2-1 W	3-2 W
Slovan Bratislava B	1-1 D	2-2 D
STK Samorin	1-4 L	0-1 L
OFK Malzenice	2-1 W	1-0 W
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2-1 W	0-1 L
FK Pohronie	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Povazska Bystrica (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Povazska Bystrica

LWWLDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	3-2	9	6	W
26/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	9	1	W
20/09	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-3	2-4	10	1	L
12/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
05/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
30/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
22/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	7	L
16/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
10/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
31/07	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	3	L

FC Tatran Presov

WDLWLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	3-2	5	3	W
27/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
19/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
13/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
28/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	6	7	W
16/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	2-4	5	2	L
08/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
01/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Tatran Presov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Povazska Bystrica win (40%). Probabilities: MSK Povazska Bystrica 40%, draw 26%, FC Tatran Presov 34%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Tatran Presov?

The model expects 3.3 goals (MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.72 · FC Tatran Presov 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Tatran Presov?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.