Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 18/10, 10:30

Prediction: FC Petrzalka vs Slovan Bratislava B

Team pages: FC Petrzalka · Slovan Bratislava B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

FC Petrzalka1.94

Slovan Bratislava B0.82

1X2

63% 22% 15%

FC Petrzalka Draw Slovan Bratislava B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Petrzalka 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Slovan Bratislava B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Petrzalka 2–3–1 Slovan Bratislava B (6 last)

FC Petrzalka1-0Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B0-0FC Petrzalka
Slovan Bratislava B1-1FC Petrzalka
FC Petrzalka1-2Slovan Bratislava B
FC Petrzalka5-1Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B0-0FC Petrzalka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Petrzalka 1593 · Slovan Bratislava B 1511

	FC Petrzalka	Draw	Slovan Bratislava B
Our model	63%	23%	14%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Petrzalka (rating 1593 vs 1511).
H2H favours FC Petrzalka: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Petrzalka	Slovan Bratislava B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.8	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.33

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 10:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.42▼	Pinn 1.47 ★
X	4.00 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	5.00 → 6.00▲	Pinn 6.10

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +52’	1.55	4.00	5.00
19:29 +13’	1.50▼	4.10▲	5.50▲
22:06 +4’	1.61▲	3.90▼	4.50▼
07:53 +9’	1.53▼	4.00▲	5.25▲
09:57 +4’	1.42▼	4.33▲	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +2’	1.53	3.94	4.86
09:23 +54’	1.55▲	4.06▲	5.04▲
16:14 +45’	1.56▲	4.02▼	4.94▼
07:04 +30’	1.59▲	3.95▼	4.76▼
11:40 +49’	1.48▼	4.22▲	5.61▲
07:49 +13’	1.45▼	4.45▲	5.67▲
08:31 +30’	1.46▲	4.54▲	5.83▲
10:00 +1’	1.47▲	4.31▼	6.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Petrzalka 2–3–1 Slovan Bratislava B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-0 HT 1-0	Slovan Bratislava B
01/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka
04/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Petrzalka
20/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	1-2 HT 0-0	Slovan Bratislava B
19/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	5-1 HT 3-0	Slovan Bratislava B
06/08/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Petrzalka

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	12	9	2	1	22	8	29
2	STK Samorin	13	9	2	2	25	15	29
3	FK Pohronie	13	7	2	4	21	16	23
4	MSK Povazska Bystrica	13	7	2	4	26	23	23
5	Slovan Galanta	13	7	1	5	20	20	22
6	MSK Zilina B	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
7	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	29	17	20
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
9	FC Tatran Presov	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
10	OFK Banik Lehota	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
11	Slovan Bratislava B	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	13	3	4	6	14	16	13
13	OFK Malzenice	13	3	3	7	16	21	12
14	FK Humenne	13	3	2	8	9	20	11
15	MFK Bytca	13	3	0	10	14	33	9
16	MFK Zvolen	13	1	3	9	9	22	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Petrzalka	Slovan Bratislava B
STK Samorin	1-1 D	1-2 L
FK Humenne	1-0 W	3-0 W
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-0 W	2-0 W
MFK Zvolen	1-0 W	2-0 W
FC Tatran Presov	4-2 W	2-2 D
Slovan Galanta	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
04/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
26/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
21/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	8	6	L
05/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
24/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
16/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-2	0	2	W
08/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W

Slovan Bratislava B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
03/10	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
27/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
13/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
07/09	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	7	0	L
30/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
22/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
17/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
09/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Petrzalka vs Slovan Bratislava B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Petrzalka win (63%). Probabilities: FC Petrzalka 63%, draw 22%, Slovan Bratislava B 15%.

How many goals are expected in FC Petrzalka vs Slovan Bratislava B?

The model expects 2.76 goals (FC Petrzalka 1.94 · Slovan Bratislava B 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Petrzalka vs Slovan Bratislava B?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.