Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: Inter Bratislava vs STK Samorin

Team pages: Inter Bratislava · STK Samorin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Inter Bratislava1.52

STK Samorin1.35

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Inter Bratislava Draw STK Samorin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Bratislava 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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STK Samorin 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Inter Bratislava 2–4 STK Samorin (6 last)

Inter Bratislava0-2STK Samorin
STK Samorin2-0Inter Bratislava
STK Samorin0-1Inter Bratislava
STK Samorin5-0Inter Bratislava
Inter Bratislava3-2STK Samorin
STK Samorin5-1Inter Bratislava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Bratislava 1554 · STK Samorin 1594

	Inter Bratislava	Draw	STK Samorin
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours STK Samorin (rating 1554 vs 1594).
H2H favours STK Samorin: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Bratislava	STK Samorin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.7	3.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +6’	2.25	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Bratislava 2–0–4 STK Samorin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	Inter Bratislava	0-2 HT 0-1	STK Samorin
13/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	2-0 HT 2-0	Inter Bratislava
09/07/25 Club Friendly List	STK Samorin	0-1 HT 0-1	Inter Bratislava
17/02/24 Club Friendly List	STK Samorin	5-0 HT 1-0	Inter Bratislava
18/05/19 Slovakia 2. Liga	Inter Bratislava	3-2 HT 0-0	STK Samorin
19/10/18 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	5-1 HT 3-0	Inter Bratislava

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	12	9	2	1	22	8	29
2	STK Samorin	12	9	1	2	23	13	28
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	12	7	2	3	25	21	23
4	FK Pohronie	12	7	1	4	21	16	22
5	MSK Zilina B	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
6	Inter Bratislava	12	5	4	3	27	15	19
7	Slovan Galanta	12	6	1	5	18	19	19
8	FC Tatran Presov	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	12	4	4	4	17	14	16
10	OFK Banik Lehota	12	4	4	4	18	19	16
11	Slovan Bratislava B	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
12	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	12	3	4	5	13	14	13
13	OFK Malzenice	12	3	2	7	16	21	11
14	MFK Bytca	12	3	0	9	13	31	9
15	FK Humenne	12	2	2	8	7	19	8
16	MFK Zvolen	12	0	3	9	7	21	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Bratislava	STK Samorin
FC Petrzalka	4-0 W	1-1 D
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	3-3 D	0-2 L
MFK Zvolen	1-1 D	3-1 W
FC Tatran Presov	1-2 L	1-0 W
Slovan Galanta	3-0 W	3-2 W
MFK Bytca	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Bratislava (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Bratislava

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	5-2	2	8	W
03/10	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
25/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-0	8	5	W
19/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	13	D
12/09	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	6	W
04/09	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	7	7	D
29/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
15/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
08/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-0	8	5	W

STK Samorin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
05/10	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
26/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
19/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
12/09	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	8	W
05/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
29/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
22/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-1	4	7	W
15/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
09/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Bratislava vs STK Samorin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Bratislava win (40%). Probabilities: Inter Bratislava 40%, draw 27%, STK Samorin 33%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Bratislava vs STK Samorin?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Inter Bratislava 1.52 · STK Samorin 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Bratislava vs STK Samorin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.