Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Slovan Galanta vs MSK Povazska Bystrica

Team pages: Slovan Galanta · MSK Povazska Bystrica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Slovan Galanta1.66

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.58

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Slovan Galanta Draw MSK Povazska Bystrica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Galanta 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWLWW

MSK Povazska Bystrica 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Galanta 1–1–1 MSK Povazska Bystrica (3 last)

Slovan Galanta2-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica4-0Slovan Galanta
Slovan Galanta1-1MSK Povazska Bystrica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Galanta 1533 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1554

	Slovan Galanta	Draw	MSK Povazska Bystrica
Our model	39%	25%	36%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Galanta	MSK Povazska Bystrica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	3.3 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +7’	2.38	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Galanta 1–1–1 MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/22 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Galanta	2-0 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
04/09/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	4-0 HT 2-0	Slovan Galanta
20/06/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Galanta	1-1 HT 0-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	10	9	0	1	20	6	27
2	STK Samorin	10	9	0	1	22	10	27
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	10	6	1	3	20	17	19
4	MSK Zilina B	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
5	Slovan Galanta	10	5	1	4	13	14	16
6	FK Pohronie	10	5	1	4	16	15	16
7	Inter Bratislava	10	4	3	3	20	11	15
8	FC Tatran Presov	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	10	3	4	3	15	12	13
10	OFK Banik Lehota	10	3	4	3	15	16	13
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	10	3	3	4	10	9	12
12	OFK Malzenice	10	3	1	6	13	15	10
13	Slovan Bratislava B	10	2	3	5	14	16	9
14	FK Humenne	10	2	2	6	6	13	8
15	MFK Bytca	10	2	0	8	8	28	6
16	MFK Zvolen	10	0	3	7	7	18	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Galanta	MSK Povazska Bystrica
OFK Banik Lehota	4-1 W	2-1 W
Slovan Bratislava B	2-1 W	1-1 D
STK Samorin	2-3 L	1-4 L
OFK Malzenice	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Pohronie	2-0 W	1-2 L
Inter Bratislava	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Slovan Galanta (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Galanta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	4-1	1	3	W
20/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
12/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	2-3	3	8	L
05/09	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
29/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
22/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
15/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
08/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
31/07	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
25/07	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	2	D

MSK Povazska Bystrica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	9	1	W
20/09	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	2-3	2-4	10	1	L
12/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
05/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
30/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
22/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	7	L
16/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
10/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
31/07	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
25/07	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-1	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Galanta vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovan Galanta win (39%). Probabilities: Slovan Galanta 39%, draw 26%, MSK Povazska Bystrica 35%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Galanta vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Slovan Galanta 1.66 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.58), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Galanta vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.