Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MSK Zilina B

Team pages: FC Vion Zlate Moravce · MSK Zilina B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

FC Vion Zlate Moravce2.19

MSK Zilina B1.28

1X2

57% 22% 21%

FC Vion Zlate Moravce Draw MSK Zilina B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWDL

MSK Zilina B 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLWLWW

Head-to-head

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 4–0 MSK Zilina B (4 last)

MSK Zilina B1-4FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce3-1MSK Zilina B
MSK Zilina B0-1FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce4-0MSK Zilina B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1548 · MSK Zilina B 1472

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	Draw	MSK Zilina B
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce (rating 1548 vs 1472).
H2H favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce: 4-0-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	MSK Zilina B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.4	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +2’	1.61	4.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 4–0–0 MSK Zilina B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	1-4 HT 1-2	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
19/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3-1 HT 1-0	MSK Zilina B
06/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
13/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	4-0 HT 2-0	MSK Zilina B

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	3	3	0	0	9	0	9
2	STK Samorin	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
3	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	3	2	1	0	8	1	7
4	FC Tatran Presov	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	MSK Zilina B	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
7	FK Pohronie	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
8	OFK Malzenice	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
10	OFK Banik Lehota	3	0	3	0	6	6	3
11	Inter Bratislava	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
12	FK Humenne	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
13	MFK Zvolen	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
14	Slovan Galanta	3	0	1	2	1	6	1
15	Slovan Bratislava B	3	0	0	3	3	7	0
16	MFK Bytca	3	0	0	3	0	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	MSK Zilina B
MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-2 L	2-2 D
Slovan Bratislava B	1-0 W	2-4 L
Inter Bratislava	1-0 W	1-0 W
FC Petrzalka	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vion Zlate Moravce (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Vion Zlate Moravce

LWDWWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
01/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
08/07	MFK Skalica Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
28/06	FC Banik Prievidza Club Friendly List	2-1	5-3	11	0	W
27/06	Dukla Banska Bystrica Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
20/06	Inter Bratislava Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
15/05	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	10	4	D
08/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	8	L

MSK Zilina B

LLDLDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
03/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
15/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	2	1	W
08/05	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-5	6	4	L
03/05	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
26/04	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-4	2-4	2	2	L
22/04	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
18/04	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
12/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-4	15	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MSK Zilina B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vion Zlate Moravce win (57%). Probabilities: FC Vion Zlate Moravce 57%, draw 22%, MSK Zilina B 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MSK Zilina B?

The model expects 3.48 goals (FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2.19 · MSK Zilina B 1.28), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MSK Zilina B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.