Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: MSK Povazska Bystrica vs OFK Banik Lehota

Team pages: MSK Povazska Bystrica · OFK Banik Lehota

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.77

OFK Banik Lehota1.22

1X2

49% 25% 25%

MSK Povazska Bystrica Draw OFK Banik Lehota

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Povazska Bystrica 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWWLWWLD

OFK Banik Lehota 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDDWDW

Head-to-head

MSK Povazska Bystrica 1–1 OFK Banik Lehota (2 last)

OFK Banik Lehota2-1MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica2-1OFK Banik Lehota

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1498 · OFK Banik Lehota 1555

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Draw	OFK Banik Lehota
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	49%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OFK Banik Lehota (rating 1498 vs 1555).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	OFK Banik Lehota
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:57 +6’	1.85	3.60	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1–0–1 OFK Banik Lehota

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Banik Lehota	2-1 HT 2-0	MSK Povazska Bystrica
02/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-1 HT 1-1	OFK Banik Lehota

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	6	6	0	0	16	2	18
2	STK Samorin	6	5	0	1	13	6	15
3	FK Pohronie	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
4	MSK Zilina B	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
5	OFK Banik Lehota	6	2	4	0	11	8	10
6	MSK Povazska Bystrica	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
7	FC Tatran Presov	6	3	1	2	9	10	10
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	6	2	2	2	10	6	8
9	Inter Bratislava	6	2	1	3	9	7	7
10	OFK Malzenice	6	2	1	3	10	10	7
11	Slovan Galanta	6	2	1	3	4	9	7
12	FK Humenne	6	2	0	4	4	9	6
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
14	Slovan Bratislava B	6	1	2	3	9	10	5
15	MFK Zvolen	6	0	3	3	4	7	3
16	MFK Bytca	6	1	0	5	4	19	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Povazska Bystrica	OFK Banik Lehota
Slovan Bratislava B	1-1 D	2-2 D
STK Samorin	1-4 L	2-0 W
OFK Malzenice	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK Pohronie	1-2 L	3-3 D
Inter Bratislava	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Povazska Bystrica (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MSK Povazska Bystrica

DDDWWLWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
22/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	7	L
16/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
10/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
31/07	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
25/07	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
08/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
02/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

OFK Banik Lehota

DWLDDDDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
22/08	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	8	6	D
15/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
08/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/08	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
25/07	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	5	8	D
15/05	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	6	4	D
08/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-4	6	0	L
01/05	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/04	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs OFK Banik Lehota?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Povazska Bystrica win (49%). Probabilities: MSK Povazska Bystrica 49%, draw 25%, OFK Banik Lehota 25%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs OFK Banik Lehota?

The model expects 2.98 goals (MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.77 · OFK Banik Lehota 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs OFK Banik Lehota?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.