Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: MFK Zvolen vs FK Pohronie

Team pages: MFK Zvolen · FK Pohronie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

MFK Zvolen1.6

FK Pohronie1.4

1X2

41% 26% 32%

MFK Zvolen Draw FK Pohronie

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Zvolen 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLLDLD

FK Pohronie 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWLWLW

Head-to-head

MFK Zvolen 3–2–1 FK Pohronie (6 last)

FK Pohronie2-2MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen1-0FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie0-3MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen3-3FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie3-0MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen1-0FK Pohronie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Zvolen 1511 · FK Pohronie 1526

	MFK Zvolen	Draw	FK Pohronie
Our model	41%	26%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MFK Zvolen: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Zvolen	FK Pohronie
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:47 +15’	2.20	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Zvolen 3–2–1 FK Pohronie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/11/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	2-2 HT 2-1	MFK Zvolen
02/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Pohronie
04/04/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	0-3 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen
14/09/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	3-3 HT 0-2	FK Pohronie
11/04/18 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	3-0 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen
19/08/17 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	6	6	0	0	16	2	18
2	STK Samorin	6	5	0	1	13	6	15
3	FK Pohronie	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
4	MSK Zilina B	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
5	OFK Banik Lehota	6	2	4	0	11	8	10
6	MSK Povazska Bystrica	6	3	1	2	10	10	10
7	FC Tatran Presov	6	3	1	2	9	10	10
8	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	6	2	2	2	10	6	8
9	Inter Bratislava	6	2	1	3	9	7	7
10	OFK Malzenice	6	2	1	3	10	10	7
11	Slovan Galanta	6	2	1	3	4	9	7
12	FK Humenne	6	2	0	4	4	9	6
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
14	Slovan Bratislava B	6	1	2	3	9	10	5
15	MFK Zvolen	6	0	3	3	4	7	3
16	MFK Bytca	6	1	0	5	4	19	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Zvolen	FK Pohronie
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-2 D	2-2 D
FC Tatran Presov	0-1 L	3-1 W
Slovan Galanta	1-1 D	0-2 L
MSK Zilina B	5-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Zvolen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Zvolen

DWWLDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
24/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	9	4	D
08/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
15/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/05	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	5-2	4	4	W
02/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
26/04	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

FK Pohronie

WDDWDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
22/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
09/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
31/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
25/07	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	3	8	D
15/05	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	0	W
08/05	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
02/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
26/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Zvolen vs FK Pohronie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Zvolen win (41%). Probabilities: MFK Zvolen 41%, draw 26%, FK Pohronie 32%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Zvolen vs FK Pohronie?

The model expects 2.99 goals (MFK Zvolen 1.6 · FK Pohronie 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Zvolen vs FK Pohronie?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.