Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MFK Zvolen

Team pages: FC Vion Zlate Moravce · MFK Zvolen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1.76

MFK Zvolen0.88

1X2

58% 25% 18%

FC Vion Zlate Moravce Draw MFK Zvolen

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLDLLW

MFK Zvolen 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLDLDL

Head-to-head

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2–1–2 MFK Zvolen (5 last)

FC Vion Zlate Moravce0-0MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen1-3FC Vion Zlate Moravce
MFK Zvolen1-0FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce0-1MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen1-2FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1517 · MFK Zvolen 1503

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	Draw	MFK Zvolen
Our model	57%	25%	17%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	MFK Zvolen
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 7.1	3.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +1’	1.57	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 2–1–2 MFK Zvolen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen
13/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	1-3 HT 1-2	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
16/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
01/11/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	0-1 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen
10/10/18 Slovakia Cup	MFK Zvolen	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	7	7	0	0	17	2	21
2	STK Samorin	7	6	0	1	15	7	18
3	MSK Zilina B	7	4	1	2	8	6	13
4	FK Pohronie	7	4	1	2	14	11	13
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	7	4	1	2	12	11	13
6	OFK Banik Lehota	7	2	4	1	12	10	10
7	FC Tatran Presov	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
8	Slovan Galanta	7	3	1	3	5	9	10
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	7	2	3	2	13	9	9
10	Inter Bratislava	7	2	2	3	12	10	8
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
12	OFK Malzenice	7	2	1	4	10	11	7
13	FK Humenne	7	2	0	5	4	10	6
14	Slovan Bratislava B	7	1	2	4	9	12	5
15	MFK Zvolen	7	0	3	4	5	9	3
16	MFK Bytca	7	1	0	6	5	21	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	MFK Zvolen
FC Tatran Presov	1-0 W	0-1 L
Slovan Galanta	0-1 L	1-1 D
MSK Zilina B	0-0 D	5-2 W
FC Petrzalka	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vion Zlate Moravce

LWDWDLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
29/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
22/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
15/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
10/08	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
01/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
15/05	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	10	4	D
08/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	8	L

MFK Zvolen

WWLDLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	11	7	L
29/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
24/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/08	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	9	4	D
08/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
15/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/05	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	5-2	4	4	W
02/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MFK Zvolen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Vion Zlate Moravce win (58%). Probabilities: FC Vion Zlate Moravce 58%, draw 25%, MFK Zvolen 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MFK Zvolen?

The model expects 2.64 goals (FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1.76 · MFK Zvolen 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vion Zlate Moravce vs MFK Zvolen?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.