Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 11/09, 17:00

Prediction: FK Pohronie vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Team pages: FK Pohronie · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

FK Pohronie1.69

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.48

1X2

42% 26% 33%

FK Pohronie Draw FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Pohronie 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLWLWW

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDLLD

Head-to-head

FK Pohronie 2–3–1 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (6 last)

FK Pohronie2-2FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas0-3FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie2-2FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas0-2FK Pohronie
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas5-2FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie1-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Pohronie 1543 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1517

	FK Pohronie	Draw	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Our model	42%	26%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Pohronie: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Pohronie	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:50 +3’	2.20	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Pohronie 2–3–1 FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
18/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Pohronie
16/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	2-2 HT 2-1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
02/11/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie
16/03/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	5-2 HT 3-1	FK Pohronie
25/08/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	7	7	0	0	17	2	21
2	STK Samorin	7	6	0	1	15	7	18
3	MSK Zilina B	7	4	1	2	8	6	13
4	FK Pohronie	7	4	1	2	14	11	13
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	7	4	1	2	12	11	13
6	OFK Banik Lehota	7	2	4	1	12	10	10
7	FC Tatran Presov	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
8	Slovan Galanta	7	3	1	3	5	9	10
9	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	7	2	3	2	13	9	9
10	Inter Bratislava	7	2	2	3	12	10	8
11	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
12	OFK Malzenice	7	2	1	4	10	11	7
13	FK Humenne	7	2	0	5	4	10	6
14	Slovan Bratislava B	7	1	2	4	9	12	5
15	MFK Zvolen	7	0	3	4	5	9	3
16	MFK Bytca	7	1	0	6	5	21	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Pohronie	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MFK Zvolen	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Tatran Presov	3-1 W	1-1 D
Slovan Galanta	0-2 L	2-0 W
MFK Bytca	3-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Pohronie

DDWDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
28/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
22/08	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
09/08	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
31/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
25/07	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	3	8	D
15/05	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	0	W
08/05	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
02/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	8	6	D

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

DWLWWDDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	11	7	D
30/08	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
22/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	14	9	L
14/08	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
08/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/07	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
15/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
08/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
02/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Pohronie vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Pohronie win (42%). Probabilities: FK Pohronie 42%, draw 26%, FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 33%.

How many goals are expected in FK Pohronie vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model expects 3.17 goals (FK Pohronie 1.69 · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Pohronie vs FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.