Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 16/08, 10:30
Prediction: OFK Malzenice vs MSK Povazska Bystrica
Team pages: OFK Malzenice · MSK Povazska Bystrica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
OFK Malzenice1.58
MSK Povazska Bystrica1.26
1X2
OFK Malzenice
Draw
MSK Povazska Bystrica
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
OFK Malzenice
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
MSK Povazska Bystrica
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OFK Malzenice
2–1–3
MSK Povazska Bystrica
(6 last)
- OFK Malzenice4-2MSK Povazska Bystrica
- MSK Povazska Bystrica1-3OFK Malzenice
- OFK Malzenice0-2MSK Povazska Bystrica
- MSK Povazska Bystrica3-1OFK Malzenice
- OFK Malzenice0-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
- MSK Povazska Bystrica4-1OFK Malzenice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OFK Malzenice 1520 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1468
| OFK Malzenice | Draw | MSK Povazska Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OFK Malzenice (rating 1520 vs 1468).
- H2H favours MSK Povazska Bystrica: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OFK Malzenice | MSK Povazska Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.4 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.8 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Malzenice 2–1–3 MSK Povazska Bystrica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga | OFK Malzenice | 4-2 HT 1-1 | MSK Povazska Bystrica |
| 19/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1-3 HT 1-2 | OFK Malzenice |
| 02/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | OFK Malzenice | 0-2 HT 0-0 | MSK Povazska Bystrica |
| 03/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 3-1 HT 1-1 | OFK Malzenice |
| 18/11/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | OFK Malzenice | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MSK Povazska Bystrica |
| 05/08/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 4-1 HT 0-1 | OFK Malzenice |
Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Petrzalka | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | STK Samorin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Tatran Presov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | MSK Zilina B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | FK Pohronie | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | OFK Malzenice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | OFK Banik Lehota | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Inter Bratislava | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FK Humenne | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | MFK Zvolen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Slovan Galanta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Slovan Bratislava B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | MFK Bytca | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OFK Malzenice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Besiktas Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/06 | MFK Ruzomberok Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/04 | Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 13 | W |
MSK Povazska Bystrica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 10/07 | MFK Karvina Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | FK Pohronie Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OFK Malzenice vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Malzenice win (44%). Probabilities: OFK Malzenice 44%, draw 27%, MSK Povazska Bystrica 29%.
How many goals are expected in OFK Malzenice vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?
The model expects 2.84 goals (OFK Malzenice 1.58 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in OFK Malzenice vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.