Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs MFK Zvolen

Team pages: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas · MFK Zvolen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1.8

MFK Zvolen0.9

1X2

58% 24% 18%

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Draw MFK Zvolen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWWWWD

MFK Zvolen 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDWDLL

Head-to-head

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1–2–3 MFK Zvolen (6 last)

MFK Zvolen2-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas0-1MFK Zvolen
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas1-1MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen3-1FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
MFK Zvolen0-0FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas2-0MFK Zvolen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1579 · MFK Zvolen 1484

	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	Draw	MFK Zvolen
Our model	57%	25%	17%
Market	58%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (rating 1579 vs 1484).
H2H favours MFK Zvolen: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	MFK Zvolen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.8	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:35 +3’	1.57	3.90	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1–2–3 MFK Zvolen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
20/09/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-1 HT 0-1	MFK Zvolen
22/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	1-1 HT 1-0	MFK Zvolen
24/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
28/03/18 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas
18/10/17 Slovakia Cup	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2-0 HT 0-0	MFK Zvolen

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Petrzalka	3	3	0	0	9	0	9
2	STK Samorin	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
3	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	3	2	1	0	8	1	7
4	FC Tatran Presov	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	MSK Povazska Bystrica	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	MSK Zilina B	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
7	FK Pohronie	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
8	OFK Malzenice	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
10	OFK Banik Lehota	3	0	3	0	6	6	3
11	Inter Bratislava	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
12	FK Humenne	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
13	MFK Zvolen	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
14	Slovan Galanta	3	0	1	2	1	6	1
15	Slovan Bratislava B	3	0	0	3	3	7	0
16	MFK Bytca	3	0	0	3	0	12	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	MFK Zvolen
FC Tatran Presov	1-1 D	0-1 L
Slovan Galanta	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

LDWWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
25/07	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
11/07	Dukla Banska Bystrica Club Friendly List	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
07/07	Spisska Nova Ves Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/07	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
01/07	FK Poprad Club Friendly List	1-1	4-1	5	2	W
27/06	Podhale Nowy Targ Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
19/06	OFK Banik Lehota Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
15/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	5	L

MFK Zvolen

LWLLDDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
18/07	Fomat Martin Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
08/07	KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
04/07	MFK Ruzomberok Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-3	3	1	D
20/06	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
23/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
19/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs MFK Zvolen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas win (58%). Probabilities: FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 58%, draw 24%, MFK Zvolen 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs MFK Zvolen?

The model expects 2.7 goals (FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 1.8 · MFK Zvolen 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas vs MFK Zvolen?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.