Football · Belgium Super League Women · 03/10, 19:30
Prediction: Standard Liege (W) vs Genk (W)
Team pages: Standard Liege (W) · Genk (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Standard Liege (W)1.46
Genk (W)1.16
1X2
Standard Liege (W)
Draw
Genk (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Standard Liege (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Genk (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Standard Liege (W)
1–2–3
Genk (W)
(6 last)
- Standard Liege (W)0-2Genk (W)
- Genk (W)2-0Standard Liege (W)
- Genk (W)2-0Standard Liege (W)
- Genk (W)1-1Standard Liege (W)
- Standard Liege (W)2-0Genk (W)
- Genk (W)2-2Standard Liege (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Standard Liege (W) 1433 · Genk (W) 1531
| Standard Liege (W) | Draw | Genk (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genk (W) (rating 1433 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Genk (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Standard Liege (W) | Genk (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege (W) 1–2–3 Genk (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/26 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Genk (W) |
| 31/01/26 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 26/09/25 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 01/03/25 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Standard Liege (W) |
| 18/01/25 Belgium Super League Women | Standard Liege (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Genk (W) |
| 20/09/24 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Standard Liege (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Club Brugge (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | OH Leuven (W) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Standard Liege (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 6 | Genk (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 8 | Gent (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Standard Liege (W) | Genk (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Zulte-Waregem (W) | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| OH Leuven (W) | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Club Brugge (W) | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Anderlecht (W) | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Standard Liege (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Genk (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Standard Liege (W) vs Genk (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Standard Liege (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Standard Liege (W) 43%, draw 27%, Genk (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Standard Liege (W) vs Genk (W)?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Standard Liege (W) 1.46 · Genk (W) 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Standard Liege (W) vs Genk (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.