Football · Belgium Super League Women · 03/10, 19:30

Prediction: Gent (W) vs Zulte-Waregem (W)

Team pages: Gent (W) · Zulte-Waregem (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Gent (W)1.18

Zulte-Waregem (W)1.58

1X2

28% 26% 46%

Gent (W) Draw Zulte-Waregem (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gent (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLLL

Zulte-Waregem (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Gent (W) 0–2–4 Zulte-Waregem (W) (6 last)

Zulte-Waregem (W)4-1Gent (W)
Gent (W)0-1Zulte-Waregem (W)
Zulte-Waregem (W)1-1Gent (W)
Gent (W)0-2Zulte-Waregem (W)
Zulte-Waregem (W)0-0Gent (W)
Gent (W)0-1Zulte-Waregem (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gent (W) 1409 · Zulte-Waregem (W) 1482

	Gent (W)	Draw	Zulte-Waregem (W)
Our model	27%	27%	45%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zulte-Waregem (W) (rating 1409 vs 1482).
H2H favours Zulte-Waregem (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gent (W)	Zulte-Waregem (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.4	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.50

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:23 +3’	3.20	3.50	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gent (W) 0–2–4 Zulte-Waregem (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Belgium Super League Women	Zulte-Waregem (W)	4-1 HT 1-1	Gent (W)
02/05/26 Belgium Super League Women	Gent (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Zulte-Waregem (W)
14/02/26 Belgium Super League Women	Zulte-Waregem (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Gent (W)
13/12/25 Belgium Super League Women	Gent (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Zulte-Waregem (W)
18/10/25 Belgium Super League Women	Zulte-Waregem (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Gent (W)
09/05/25 Belgium Super League Women	Gent (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Zulte-Waregem (W)

Standings · Belgium Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Anderlecht (W)	4	4	0	0	10	0	12
2	Club Brugge (W)	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
3	OH Leuven (W)	4	2	2	0	12	2	8
4	RAAL La Louviere (W)	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
5	Standard Liege (W)	4	2	0	2	6	11	6
6	Genk (W)	4	1	1	2	2	5	4
7	Zulte-Waregem (W)	4	0	0	4	4	9	0
8	Gent (W)	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gent (W)	Zulte-Waregem (W)
Genk (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
RAAL La Louviere (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
Anderlecht (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Westerlo (W)	1-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zulte-Waregem (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gent (W)

WDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
19/09	RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	2-3	6	5	L
12/09	Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
06/09	OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-3	1-6	4	1	L
23/05	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
16/05	Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-2	6	0	L
09/05	Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	1-4	2	3	L
02/05	Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
24/04	Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-0	2-2	11	0	D
04/04	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W

Zulte-Waregem (W)

LWDWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women	3-0	3-4	6	6	L
19/09	Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
12/09	Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
05/09	RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
22/05	Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
16/05	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	2-1	4-2	11	2	W
09/05	Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
06/05	Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
02/05	Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
25/04	Westerlo (W) Belgium Super League Women	0-1	1-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gent (W) vs Zulte-Waregem (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zulte-Waregem (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Gent (W) 28%, draw 26%, Zulte-Waregem (W) 46%.

How many goals are expected in Gent (W) vs Zulte-Waregem (W)?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Gent (W) 1.18 · Zulte-Waregem (W) 1.58), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gent (W) vs Zulte-Waregem (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.